Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USManteca
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Manteca weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Manteca today. Tomorrow looks clear around 83°, with a 0% chance of rain.

84°58°
83°59°
90°56°
96°62°
101°72°
103°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Clear
Feels 79° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Clear
Feels 77° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 22%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Clear
Feels 75° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 19%

Latest for Manteca: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 84° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 84° Clear · European (ECMWF): 83° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manteca and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
84° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
83° 59°
models agree
Mon
Clear
90° 56°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
96° 62°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
101° 72°
±12°
Thu
Mostly clear
103° 76°
±13°
Fri
Clear
94° 71°
±9°
Sat
Clear
88° 63°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 59°
±16°
Mon
Clear
87° 59°
±19°
Tue
Clear
91° 60°
±15°
Wed
Cloudy
96° 61°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
96° 65°
±11°
Fri
Clear
95° 60°
models agree

Manteca, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 101°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 25 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manteca right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manteca climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
42°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
71°
47°
May
81°
53°
Jun
91°
59°
Jul
101°
65°
Aug
97°
64°
Sep
90°
60°
Oct
83°
56°
Nov
65°
45°
Dec
59°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Manteca?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
95
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°83° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°83° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°88° to 91°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±8°92° to 99°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±12°94° to 106°models agree4% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manteca

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manteca today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manteca today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manteca today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manteca and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manteca?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manteca (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 95. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manteca?
July is typically the warmest month in Manteca, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Manteca get?
The coldest month in Manteca is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Manteca get?
Manteca sees roughly 25 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather