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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

The Woodlands weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in The Woodlands today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 0% chance of rain.

85°59°
81°61°
83°62°
80°63°
83°66°
83°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Mostly clear
Today 86°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Partly cloudy
Today 86°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Clear
Today 83°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
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The Woodlands weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering The Woodlands…

The Woodlands weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

The Woodlands swings 50°F across the year, from 92°F highs in August to 42°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 219 days a year at 77°F or above, 129 of them at 86°F or above, 6 frost nights, and rain on 158 days.

Warmest month
August
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
42°F average low
Wettest month
June
50 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
94,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
219 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
6 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
158 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for The Woodlands’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Woodlands and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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The Woodlands hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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The Woodlands 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
85° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 61°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
83° 62°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
80° 63°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
83° 66°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 65°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
81° 65°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
83° 66°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
85° 68°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
84° 68°
±9°
Tue
Clear
80° 57°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
76° 56°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 60°
±13°

The Woodlands, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Woodlands right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Woodlands climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
60°
42°
Feb
66°
47°
Mar
70°
53°
Apr
77°
59°
May
84°
68°
Jun
91°
72°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
92°
72°
Sep
87°
68°
Oct
79°
60°
Nov
68°
51°
Dec
62°
45°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around The Woodlands has changed since 1995

The Woodlands sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Houston. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Houston page.

Which forecast is most accurate in The Woodlands?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F94±1.9 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°83° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°79° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°82° to 83°±2%1% to 3% chance
Tue±2°79° to 81°±22%7% to 29% chance
Wed±4°80° to 84°±11%13% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Woodlands

today, local time
Sunrise
07:30
Sunset
18:41
Daylight
11h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Woodlands today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in The Woodlands today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in The Woodlands today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in The Woodlands on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Woodlands?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Woodlands (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Woodlands?
August is typically the warmest month in The Woodlands, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does The Woodlands get?
The coldest month in The Woodlands is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does The Woodlands get?
The Woodlands sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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