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CheckWeather USThe Woodlands
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

The Woodlands weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put The Woodlands's high today between 89° and 95°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 90°, with a 86% chance of rain.

91°76°
90°77°
93°76°
96°79°
94°78°
96°78°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Showers
Today 89°·Low 77°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Showers
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 40%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 74°·Rain 79%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Woodlands and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
91° 76°
±6°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
90° 77°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
93° 76°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
96° 79°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 78°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
96° 78°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
97° 79°
±11°
Sat
Partly cloudy
95° 79°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
96° 80°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
94° 78°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 77°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
89° 75°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
93° 72°
models agree
Fri
Clear
94° 71°
models agree

The Woodlands, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 66 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Woodlands right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Woodlands climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
44°
Feb
69°
50°
Mar
74°
57°
Apr
78°
60°
May
85°
69°
Jun
93°
74°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
97°
77°
Sep
92°
73°
Oct
83°
64°
Nov
72°
55°
Dec
66°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in The Woodlands?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F91±2.7 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°89° to 95°±39%40% to 79% chance
Tomorrow±3°88° to 92°±63%23% to 86% chance
Mon±3°92° to 94°±27%6% to 33% chance
Tue±5°93° to 99°±47%8% to 55% chance
Wed±9°90° to 98°±29%24% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Woodlands

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Woodlands today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for The Woodlands today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in The Woodlands today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for The Woodlands and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Woodlands?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Woodlands (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Woodlands?
August is typically the warmest month in The Woodlands, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does The Woodlands get?
The coldest month in The Woodlands is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does The Woodlands get?
The Woodlands sees roughly 66 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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