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CheckWeather USConroe
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Conroe weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Conroe today. Tomorrow looks showers around 88°, with a 86% chance of rain.

89°75°
88°76°
92°76°
96°78°
94°78°
95°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Drizzle
Today 87°·Low 76°·Rain 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 75°·Rain 44%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 74°·Rain 79%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Conroe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
89° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
88° 76°
±6°
Mon
Mostly clear
92° 76°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
96° 78°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 78°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
95° 77°
±10°
Fri
Partly cloudy
96° 78°
±12°
Sat
Partly cloudy
95° 79°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
95° 79°
±12°
Mon
Drizzle
95° 77°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 77°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
87° 74°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
92° 71°
models agree
Fri
Clear
94° 71°
models agree

Conroe, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 62 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Conroe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Conroe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
44°
Feb
68°
50°
Mar
73°
56°
Apr
77°
60°
May
84°
68°
Jun
93°
74°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
97°
77°
Sep
92°
73°
Oct
83°
64°
Nov
71°
55°
Dec
66°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Conroe?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°87° to 90°±35%44% to 79% chance
Tomorrow±6°86° to 91°±59%27% to 86% chance
Mon±3°91° to 94°±26%7% to 33% chance
Tue±7°93° to 99°±46%9% to 55% chance
Wed±10°89° to 99°±25%28% to 53% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Conroe

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Conroe today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Conroe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Conroe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Conroe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Conroe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Conroe (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Conroe?
August is typically the warmest month in Conroe, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Conroe get?
The coldest month in Conroe is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Conroe get?
Conroe sees roughly 62 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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