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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Spring weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Spring today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 82°, with a 0% chance of rain.

86°60°
82°62°
83°63°
81°64°
83°66°
83°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Clear
Feels 64° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
54°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 88%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Clear
Feels 67° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 67%

Latest for Spring: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 62° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 54° Clear · European (ECMWF): 66° Clear.

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Spring weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Spring…

Spring weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Spring swings 49°F across the year, from 92°F highs in August to 43°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 222 days a year at 77°F or above, 125 of them at 86°F or above, 6 frost nights, and rain on 160 days.

Warmest month
August
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
June
52 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
222 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
6 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
160 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Spring’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Spring and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Spring hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Spring 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
86° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
82° 62°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
83° 63°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 64°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 66°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 65°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
81° 66°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
83° 67°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
86° 69°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
84° 68°
±10°
Tue
Clear
81° 58°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
75° 57°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 61°
±12°

Spring, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Spring right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Spring climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
60°
43°
Feb
66°
48°
Mar
70°
53°
Apr
77°
60°
May
83°
68°
Jun
91°
73°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
92°
73°
Sep
87°
69°
Oct
80°
61°
Nov
68°
52°
Dec
62°
46°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Spring has changed since 1995

Spring sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Houston. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Houston page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Spring?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.5 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F92±2.6 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°85° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°81° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°83° to 83°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±1°81° to 82°±23%8% to 31% chance
Wed±2°82° to 84°±13%13% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Spring

today, local time
Sunrise
07:29
Sunset
18:41
Daylight
11h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Spring today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Spring today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 82°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Spring today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Spring on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Spring?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Spring (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Spring?
August is typically the warmest month in Spring, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Spring get?
The coldest month in Spring is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Spring get?
Spring sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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