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CheckWeather USSpring
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Spring weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Spring's high today between 89° and 96°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 90°, with a 91% chance of rain.

92°77°
90°78°
93°77°
96°80°
94°80°
96°79°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Heavy drizzle
Today 89°·Low 77°·Rain 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Heavy drizzle
Today 96°·Low 77°·Rain 44%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Drizzle
Today 93°·Low 75°·Rain 73%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Spring and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
92° 77°
±7°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
90° 78°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
93° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
96° 80°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 80°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
96° 79°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
97° 80°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
95° 80°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
95° 81°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 80°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 79°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
90° 76°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
91° 73°
models agree
Fri
Clear
94° 72°
models agree

Spring, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 65 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Spring right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Spring climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
69°
51°
Mar
74°
57°
Apr
78°
61°
May
84°
69°
Jun
93°
75°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
97°
78°
Sep
92°
74°
Oct
84°
65°
Nov
72°
56°
Dec
66°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in Spring?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F92±2.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°89° to 96°±29%44% to 73% chance
Tomorrow±4°88° to 92°±70%21% to 91% chance
Mon±3°92° to 94°±34%7% to 41% chance
Tue±5°93° to 98°±52%9% to 61% chance
Wed±10°89° to 99°±34%24% to 58% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Spring

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Spring today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Spring today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Spring today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Spring and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Spring?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Spring (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Spring?
August is typically the warmest month in Spring, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Spring get?
The coldest month in Spring is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Spring get?
Spring sees roughly 65 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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