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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Stratford weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in Stratford today. Tomorrow: clear, around 62°, with a 0% chance of rain.

60°38°
62°40°
66°44°
57°43°
53°38°
62°46°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Partly cloudy
Today 59°·Low 37°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Cloudy
Today 60°·Low 37°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Cloudy
Today 61°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
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Stratford weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Stratford…

Stratford weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Stratford swings 55°F across the year, from 80°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 78 days a year at 77°F or above, 15 of them at 86°F or above, 79 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
80°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
April
49 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
51,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
78 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
79 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
129 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Stratford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Stratford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stratford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stratford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
60° 38°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
62° 40°
models agree
Mon
Clear
66° 44°
models agree
Tue
Clear
57° 43°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
53° 38°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
62° 46°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
66° 49°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
63° 47°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
60° 47°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
62° 50°
±16°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 49°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
53° 42°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 40°
models agree

Stratford, Connecticut (CT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Stratford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Stratford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
26°
Feb
39°
25°
Mar
46°
31°
Apr
55°
40°
May
66°
50°
Jun
75°
60°
Jul
80°
67°
Aug
79°
65°
Sep
73°
59°
Oct
63°
48°
Nov
52°
37°
Dec
43°
31°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Stratford has changed since 1995

Stratford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bridgeport. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bridgeport page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Stratford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°59° to 61°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°62° to 64°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°66° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°56° to 59°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°51° to 55°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stratford

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
10h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stratford today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in Stratford today. Tomorrow: clear, around 62°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Stratford today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Stratford on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stratford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stratford (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stratford?
July is typically the warmest month in Stratford, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Stratford get?
The coldest month in Stratford is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Stratford get?
Stratford sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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