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CheckWeather USFairfield
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Fairfield weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Fairfield today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 71°, with a 74% chance of rain.

77°64°
71°60°
76°57°
80°61°
79°65°
80°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 64°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 64°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 64°·Rain 71%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fairfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
77° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
71° 60°
models agree
Mon
Clear
76° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 61°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
79° 65°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
80° 69°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
77° 63°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
76° 61°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 65°
±9°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
83° 68°
±16°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
77° 64°
±16°
Wed
Light drizzle
77° 60°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
70° 59°
±9°

Fairfield, CT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 56 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fairfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fairfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
30°
Feb
43°
28°
Mar
50°
34°
Apr
58°
43°
May
68°
51°
Jun
77°
60°
Jul
82°
68°
Aug
79°
65°
Sep
74°
59°
Oct
66°
50°
Nov
54°
39°
Dec
44°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fairfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F93±2.3 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F94±1.8 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°76° to 78°±62%9% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°70° to 71°±48%26% to 74% chance
Mon±1°75° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°79° to 83°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±2°77° to 80°±8%8% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fairfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fairfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fairfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fairfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fairfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fairfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fairfield (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fairfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Fairfield, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Fairfield get?
The coldest month in Fairfield is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Fairfield get?
Fairfield sees roughly 56 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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