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CheckWeather USShelton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Shelton weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Shelton today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 70°, with a 77% chance of rain.

77°64°
70°61°
75°57°
80°60°
77°64°
79°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Drizzle
Today 77°·Low 63°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 62°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 66°·Rain 65%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Shelton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
77° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
70° 61°
models agree
Mon
Clear
75° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 60°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
77° 64°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 68°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
76° 63°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
75° 60°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
79° 65°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 68°
±18°
Tue
Drizzle
78° 64°
±18°
Wed
Drizzle
77° 60°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
71° 59°
±6°

Shelton, CT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 27°F), with roughly 58 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Shelton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Shelton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
29°
Feb
43°
27°
Mar
50°
33°
Apr
59°
42°
May
69°
50°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
83°
67°
Aug
79°
64°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
66°
49°
Nov
53°
37°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Shelton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F95±1.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°76° to 77°±52%13% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±1°70° to 71°±58%19% to 77% chance
Mon±3°73° to 76°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±4°78° to 82°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±4°75° to 79°±2%12% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shelton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shelton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Shelton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shelton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Shelton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shelton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shelton (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shelton?
July is typically the warmest month in Shelton, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Shelton get?
The coldest month in Shelton is February, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Shelton get?
Shelton sees roughly 58 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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