Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather US›Michigan›Southfield
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Southfield weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 64° in Southfield today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 2% chance of rain.

64°42°
67°43°
65°49°
57°45°
64°47°
71°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
65°
Mostly clear
Today 65°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
66°
Cloudy
Today 66°·Low 41°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Cloudy
Today 63°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Southfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Southfield…

Southfield weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Southfield swings 62°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 19°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 92 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 118 frost nights, and rain on 132 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
19°F average low
Wettest month
May
35 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
September and October
Residents
73,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
99/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
92 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
118 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
132 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Southfield’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Southfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Southfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Southfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
64° 42°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 43°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
65° 49°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
57° 45°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
64° 47°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 50°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
66° 48°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
64° 50°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
65° 51°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
60° 45°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
48° 39°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
49° 36°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
54° 42°
±15°

Southfield, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 19°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Southfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Southfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
20°
Feb
37°
19°
Mar
44°
27°
Apr
56°
36°
May
70°
48°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
73°
56°
Oct
60°
44°
Nov
46°
33°
Dec
36°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Southfield has changed since 1995

Southfield sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Detroit. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Detroit page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Southfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
98±0.2°F99±0.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°63° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°65° to 68°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±2°64° to 67°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°55° to 58°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±2°63° to 65°±14%4% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Southfield

today, local time
Sunrise
07:56
Sunset
18:36
Daylight
10h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Southfield today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 64° in Southfield today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Southfield today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Southfield on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Southfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Southfield (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Southfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Southfield, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Southfield get?
The coldest month in Southfield is February, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Southfield get?
Southfield sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather