Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USRoyal Oak
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Royal Oak weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Royal Oak today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 75°, with a 0% chance of rain.

77°63°
75°60°
75°58°
81°61°
79°70°
79°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Light drizzle
Today 76°·Low 64°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 62°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 63°·Rain 88%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Royal Oak and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
77° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
75° 60°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
75° 58°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 61°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 70°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 65°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
78° 60°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
82° 64°
±6°
Sun
Showers
84° 65°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 61°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
71° 56°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
71° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
72° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
75° 56°
models agree

Royal Oak, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Royal Oak right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Royal Oak climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
48°
30°
Apr
60°
39°
May
72°
49°
Jun
80°
59°
Jul
83°
63°
Aug
80°
61°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
64°
46°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Royal Oak?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°76° to 78°±82%6% to 88% chance
Tomorrow±1°75° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°75° to 76°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±4°79° to 83°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±9°75° to 84°±21%34% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Royal Oak

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
20:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Royal Oak today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Royal Oak today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Royal Oak today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Royal Oak and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Royal Oak?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Royal Oak (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Royal Oak?
July is typically the warmest month in Royal Oak, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Royal Oak get?
The coldest month in Royal Oak is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Royal Oak get?
Royal Oak sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather