Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USSanta Barbara
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 9°F

Santa Barbara weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Santa Barbara's high today between 75° and 85°, a 9° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 79°, with a 50% chance of rain.

80°63°
79°66°
85°67°
87°71°
91°75°
90°75°
Todaysplit ±9°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±13°Tuesdaysplit ±18°Wednesdaysplit ±20°Thursdaysplit ±21°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Mostly clear
Today 75°·Low 65°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Clear
Today 85°·Low 63°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Barbara and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 63°
±9°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
79° 66°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
85° 67°
±13°
Tue
Cloudy
87° 71°
±18°
Wed
Cloudy
91° 75°
±20°
Thu
Mostly clear
90° 75°
±21°
Fri
Clear
85° 73°
±15°
Sat
Mostly clear
82° 69°
±17°
Sun
Mostly clear
82° 67°
±17°
Mon
Clear
83° 67°
±16°
Tue
Clear
84° 67°
±16°
Wed
Cloudy
87° 69°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
85° 66°
±16°
Fri
Clear
83° 65°
±21°

Santa Barbara, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Barbara right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Barbara climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
45°
Feb
62°
44°
Mar
63°
46°
Apr
70°
50°
May
70°
53°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
89°
66°
Aug
88°
66°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
83°
58°
Nov
72°
48°
Dec
69°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Barbara?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F99±0.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
8±9.2°F88±3.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±9°75° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±7°75° to 82°±46%4% to 50% chance
Mon±13°77° to 90°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±18°78° to 97°±11%7% to 18% chance
Wed±20°81° to 101°±1%10% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Barbara

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:19
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Barbara today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Barbara today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Barbara today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Barbara and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Barbara?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Santa Barbara (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Barbara?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Barbara, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Santa Barbara get?
The coldest month in Santa Barbara is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Santa Barbara get?
Santa Barbara sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather