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Goleta weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Goleta and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Goleta, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Goleta right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Goleta climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
46°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
63°
46°
Apr
69°
50°
May
69°
53°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
86°
65°
Aug
86°
65°
Sep
82°
63°
Oct
82°
59°
Nov
72°
50°
Dec
68°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Goleta?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
74±2.6°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
48±5.2°F93±2.3 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Goleta today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Goleta today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Goleta today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Goleta and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Goleta?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Goleta (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Goleta?
July is typically the warmest month in Goleta, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Goleta get?
The coldest month in Goleta is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Goleta get?
Goleta sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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