Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io

Montecito weather

Loading live data…

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Clear
Feels 60° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
62°
Clear
Feels 55° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 48%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Mainly clear
Feels 51° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 89%

Latest for Montecito: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 60° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 62° Clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Mainly clear.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Montecito weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Montecito…

Montecito weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Montecito swings 37°F across the year, from 82°F highs in August to 45°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
82°F average high
Coldest month
December
45°F average low
Wettest month
February
23 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
8,965
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Montecito and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Montecito hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Montecito 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Montecito, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 45°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Montecito right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Montecito climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
63°
49°
Feb
64°
49°
Mar
65°
51°
Apr
67°
51°
May
69°
56°
Jun
73°
60°
Jul
76°
59°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
79°
63°
Oct
74°
55°
Nov
69°
52°
Dec
61°
45°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Montecito has changed since 1995

Montecito sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ventura. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Ventura page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Montecito today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Montecito today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Montecito today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Montecito and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Montecito?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Montecito forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Montecito?
August is typically the warmest month in Montecito, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Montecito get?
The coldest month in Montecito is December, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Montecito get?
Montecito sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather