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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

San Diego (SD) weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in San Diego today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

75°58°
79°59°
79°63°
76°62°
75°61°
73°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
61°
Clear
Feels 62° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
60°
Clear
Feels 60° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
58°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 95%

Latest for San Diego: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 61° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 60° Clear · European (ECMWF): 58° Clear.

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San Diego weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering San Diego…

San Diego weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

San Diego swings 33°F across the year, from 78°F highs in September to 45°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 10 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 62 days a year at 77°F or above, 5 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 40 days.

Warmest month
September
78°F average high
Coldest month
December
45°F average low
Wettest month
February
10 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
1.4 million
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
62 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
40 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for San Diego’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Diego and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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San Diego in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of San Diego, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

San Diego hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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San Diego 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
75° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
79° 59°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 63°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 62°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 61°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
73° 63°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
71° 64°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
72° 63°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
73° 63°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 63°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 64°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
73° 62°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
73° 63°
models agree

San Diego, California (CA). Often shortened to SD. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Diego right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down San Diego's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Diego weather by month

what to expect in San Diego through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is San Diego's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to San Diego by season.

Jan
63°
47°
Mild
Feb
63°
49°
Mild
Wettest
Mar
64°
52°
Mild
Apr
66°
53°
Mild
May
70°
60°
Mild
Jun
72°
62°
Warm
Jul
73°
61°
Warm
Aug
77°
65°
Warm
Sep
78°
66°
Warm
Oct
72°
55°
Warm
Nov
70°
51°
Mild
Dec
62°
45°
Mild

What San Diego's weather is like through the year

San Diego runs from warm summers, with September highs near 78°F, to cold winters, when December lows sit around 45°F (a swing of about 33°F across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and San Diego sees roughly 10 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit San Diego

The most comfortable time to visit San Diego is usually January, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

How San Diego's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.9°F

Around San Diego, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2014.

1995: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average1997: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2002: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2008: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2010: −2.2°F vs the 30-year average2011: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2014: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2023: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2024: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

11 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +4 vs the 30-year average1997: +4 vs the 30-year average1998: −21 vs the 30-year average1999: −18 vs the 30-year average2000: −5 vs the 30-year average2001: −4 vs the 30-year average2002: −18 vs the 30-year average2003: +15 vs the 30-year average2004: −5 vs the 30-year average2005: −14 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: −8 vs the 30-year average2008: +22 vs the 30-year average2009: +3 vs the 30-year average2010: −30 vs the 30-year average2011: −18 vs the 30-year average2012: +3 vs the 30-year average2013: −11 vs the 30-year average2014: +13 vs the 30-year average2015: +5 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: +16 vs the 30-year average2018: +5 vs the 30-year average2019: −4 vs the 30-year average2020: +7 vs the 30-year average2021: +12 vs the 30-year average2022: +19 vs the 30-year average2023: −7 vs the 30-year average2024: +15 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−4%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: +7% vs the 30-year average1998: +7% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: +4% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −6% vs the 30-year average2013: −3% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: −3% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: −6% vs the 30-year average2021: −3% vs the 30-year average2022: +1% vs the 30-year average2023: +4% vs the 30-year average2024: −9% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.5°F+9+1%
1996+0.7°F+4+4%
1997+0.7°F+4+7%
1998−1.7°F−21+7%
1999−1.3°F−18+4%
2000+0.1°F−5+1%
2001−0.8°F−4−3%
2002−1.3°F−18+1%
2003+0.3°F+15+1%
2004−0.4°F−5+1%
2005−0.2°F−14+1%
2006+0.3°F+6+1%
2007−0.9°F−8+1%
2008+0.5°F+22+4%
2009−0.4°F+3+1%
2010−2.2°F−30+4%
2011−2.0°F−18+1%
2012+0.1°F+3−6%
2013−0.6°F−11−3%
2014+2.3°F+13−3%
2015+1.8°F+5−3%
2016+1.2°F+3+1%
2017+1.6°F+16−3%
2018+1.2°F+5−3%
2019−0.8°F−4+1%
2020+0.9°F+7−6%
2021+0.3°F+12−3%
2022+0.9°F+19+1%
2023−1.1°F−7+4%
2024+0.3°F+15−9%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around San Diego, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Diego?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F94±1.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
62
/100rank #2
29±7.1°F97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for San Diego, scoring 85/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 62. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°74° to 75°±28%5% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±4°77° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°76° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±8°72° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±8°70° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Diego

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
18:05
Daylight
11h 6m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Diego today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in San Diego today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in San Diego today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in San Diego on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Diego?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for San Diego (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the European at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Diego?
September is typically the warmest month in San Diego, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does San Diego get?
The coldest month in San Diego is December, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does San Diego get?
San Diego sees roughly 10 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit San Diego?
The most comfortable time to visit San Diego is usually January, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in San Diego?
Rarely - San Diego very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is San Diego getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around San Diego, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More US weather