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CheckWeather USChula Vista
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 16°F

Chula Vista weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Chula Vista's high today between 78° and 94°, a 16° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 88°, with a 39% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

85°64°
88°73°
89°73°
91°76°
91°77°
87°75°
Todaysplit ±16°Tomorrowsplit ±13°Mondaysplit ±17°Tuesdaysplit ±20°Wednesdaysplit ±21°Thursdaysplit ±16°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Mainly clear
Feels 85° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Overcast
Feels 93° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 47%
EuropeanECMWF
89°
Overcast
Feels 94° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 54%

Latest for Chula Vista: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 81° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 90° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 89° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Chula Vista and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
85° 64°
±16°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
88° 73°
±13°
Mon
Cloudy
89° 73°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
91° 76°
±20°
Wed
Light drizzle
91° 77°
±21°
Thu
Clear
87° 75°
±16°
Fri
Clear
83° 73°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 70°
±9°
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 67°
±10°
Mon
Partly cloudy
79° 69°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 68°
±10°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
86° 72°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
86° 71°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
86° 71°
±15°

Chula Vista, CA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 78°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Chula Vista right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Chula Vista climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
47°
Feb
62°
48°
Mar
62°
50°
Apr
65°
52°
May
67°
57°
Jun
71°
60°
Jul
76°
64°
Aug
78°
65°
Sep
76°
64°
Oct
75°
58°
Nov
71°
51°
Dec
66°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chula Vista?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F92±2.5 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
65
/100rank #2
18±8.2°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±16°78° to 94°±34%5% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±13°80° to 93°±31%8% to 39% chance
Mon±17°81° to 97°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±20°80° to 99°±12%4% to 16% chance
Wed±21°81° to 102°±16%2% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chula Vista

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chula Vista today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Chula Vista today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chula Vista today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Chula Vista and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chula Vista?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Chula Vista (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chula Vista?
August is typically the warmest month in Chula Vista, with average highs around 78°F.
How cold does Chula Vista get?
The coldest month in Chula Vista is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Chula Vista get?
Chula Vista sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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