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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Saint Clair Shores weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Saint Clair Shores today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 4% chance of rain.

62°45°
67°45°
65°50°
56°45°
63°48°
71°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Mostly clear
Today 62°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
62°
Cloudy
Today 62°·Low 47°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Partly cloudy
Today 62°·Low 45°·Rain 0%
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Saint Clair Shores weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Saint Clair Shores weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Saint Clair Shores swings 58°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 21°F lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 74 days a year at 77°F or above, 10 of them at 86°F or above, 105 frost nights, and rain on 132 days.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
February
21°F average low
Wettest month
September
38 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and June
Residents
60,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
80/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
74 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
105 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
132 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Saint Clair Shores’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saint Clair Shores and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint Clair Shores hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint Clair Shores 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
62° 45°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 45°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
65° 50°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
56° 45°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 48°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 50°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
65° 48°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
64° 51°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
66° 53°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 45°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
49° 39°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
49° 37°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 43°
±15°

Saint Clair Shores, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 21°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saint Clair Shores right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Saint Clair Shores climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
22°
Feb
35°
21°
Mar
42°
29°
Apr
53°
37°
May
66°
49°
Jun
76°
60°
Jul
79°
65°
Aug
79°
65°
Sep
71°
59°
Oct
59°
46°
Nov
46°
35°
Dec
35°
27°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Saint Clair Shores has changed since 1995

Saint Clair Shores sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Detroit. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Detroit page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint Clair Shores?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F92±2.5 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F94±1.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree62° to 62°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°67° to 68°±3%1% to 4% chance
Mon±4°63° to 67°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°55° to 57°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±2°62° to 64°±11%4% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint Clair Shores

today, local time
Sunrise
07:55
Sunset
18:35
Daylight
10h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Clair Shores today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Saint Clair Shores today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Saint Clair Shores today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Saint Clair Shores on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 4% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 4%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Clair Shores?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint Clair Shores (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint Clair Shores?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint Clair Shores, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Saint Clair Shores get?
The coldest month in Saint Clair Shores is February, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Saint Clair Shores get?
Saint Clair Shores sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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