Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USWarren
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Warren weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Warren's high today between 76° and 81°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°64°
76°60°
76°59°
81°62°
79°70°
79°65°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 65°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 64°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 63°·Rain 82%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Warren and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
78° 64°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
76° 60°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
76° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
81° 62°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 70°
±11°
Thu
Partly cloudy
79° 65°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 60°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
82° 65°
±6°
Sun
Showers
83° 66°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 61°
±16°
Tue
Light drizzle
71° 55°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
70° 53°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 53°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
74° 56°
±5°

Warren, MI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Warren right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Warren climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
47°
30°
Apr
59°
40°
May
71°
49°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
61°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
63°
46°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
41°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Warren?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
61
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.8 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°76° to 81°±77%5% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±3°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°74° to 78°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tue±2°80° to 82°±1%1% to 2% chance
Wed±11°74° to 84°±17%32% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Warren

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:59
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Warren today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Warren today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Warren today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Warren and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Warren?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Warren (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Warren?
July is typically the warmest month in Warren, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Warren get?
The coldest month in Warren is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Warren get?
Warren sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather