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CheckWeather USSaint Charles
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Saint Charles weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Saint Charles today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 91°, with a 4% chance of rain.

98°79°
91°74°
89°67°
97°67°
99°75°
86°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Light drizzle
Today 100°·Low 79°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 78°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Partly cloudy
Today 96°·Low 79°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saint Charles and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
98° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
91° 74°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
89° 67°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
97° 67°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
99° 75°
models agree
Thu
Showers
86° 71°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
89° 67°
±16°
Sat
Light drizzle
90° 68°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
90° 69°
±15°
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 63°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
78° 59°
±7°
Wed
Clear
76° 54°
models agree
Thu
Clear
78° 55°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
78° 59°
±4°

Saint Charles, MO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saint Charles right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Saint Charles climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
27°
Feb
53°
33°
Mar
57°
38°
Apr
68°
48°
May
78°
58°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
85°
69°
Sep
80°
62°
Oct
70°
51°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
48°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint Charles?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F95±1.7 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 100°±35%8% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±3°89° to 92°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±1°88° to 89°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±4°95° to 99°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°97° to 100°±10%27% to 37% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint Charles

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Charles today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Saint Charles today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint Charles today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Saint Charles and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Charles?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint Charles (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint Charles?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint Charles, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Saint Charles get?
The coldest month in Saint Charles is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Saint Charles get?
Saint Charles sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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