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CheckWeather US›Missouri›Florissant
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Florissant weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Florissant's high today between 71° and 77°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 77°, with a 1% chance of rain.

74°50°
77°52°
76°56°
73°55°
77°55°
77°57°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Mostly clear
Today 75°·Low 51°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Cloudy
Today 77°·Low 50°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 51°·Rain 0%
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Florissant weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Florissant…

Florissant weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Florissant swings 63°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 24°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 45 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 137 days a year at 77°F or above, 57 of them at 86°F or above, 78 frost nights, and rain on 127 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
May
45 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
52,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
86/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
137 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
78 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
127 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Florissant’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Florissant and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Florissant hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Florissant 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
74° 50°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
77° 52°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 56°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
73° 55°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
77° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
77° 57°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
76° 58°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
72° 58°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
72° 57°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
66° 48°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
59° 43°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
60° 45°
±14°
Thu
Cloudy
65° 49°
±22°

Florissant, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Florissant right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Florissant climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
24°
Feb
46°
26°
Mar
54°
35°
Apr
66°
45°
May
75°
55°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
85°
69°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
66°
48°
Nov
53°
38°
Dec
42°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Florissant has changed since 1995

Florissant sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as O'Fallon. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the O'Fallon page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Florissant?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.0 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F96±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°71° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±6°73° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°75° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°72° to 74°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±3°75° to 78°±2%4% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Florissant

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
10h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Florissant today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Florissant's high today between 71° and 77°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 77°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Florissant today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Florissant on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Florissant?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Florissant (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Florissant?
July is typically the warmest month in Florissant, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Florissant get?
The coldest month in Florissant is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Florissant get?
Florissant sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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