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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Rancho Cucamonga weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Rancho Cucamonga today. Tomorrow: clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

74°53°
78°54°
78°59°
77°58°
74°58°
72°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Clear
Today 75°·Low 55°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Clear
Today 75°·Low 54°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Clear
Today 72°·Low 51°·Rain 10%
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Rancho Cucamonga weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Rancho Cucamonga…

Rancho Cucamonga weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rancho Cucamonga swings 51°F across the year, from 93°F highs in August to 42°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 189 days a year at 77°F or above, 112 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 46 days.

Warmest month
August
93°F average high
Coldest month
December
42°F average low
Wettest month
February
23 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
175,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
189 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
46 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rancho Cucamonga’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rancho Cucamonga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rancho Cucamonga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rancho Cucamonga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
74° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
78° 54°
models agree
Mon
Clear
78° 59°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
77° 58°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 58°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 59°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
68° 59°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
67° 58°
±10°
Sun
Light rain
71° 58°
±18°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 59°
±19°
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 59°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 58°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
73° 59°
±7°

Rancho Cucamonga, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 42°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rancho Cucamonga right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rancho Cucamonga climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
45°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
64°
49°
Apr
72°
49°
May
78°
55°
Jun
84°
59°
Jul
91°
61°
Aug
93°
66°
Sep
89°
65°
Oct
80°
55°
Nov
70°
48°
Dec
61°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Rancho Cucamonga has changed since 1995

Rancho Cucamonga sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Riverside. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Riverside page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rancho Cucamonga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F92±2.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°72° to 75°±9%1% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±4°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°72° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rancho Cucamonga

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
18:05
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rancho Cucamonga today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Rancho Cucamonga today. Tomorrow: clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rancho Cucamonga today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Rancho Cucamonga on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 10%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rancho Cucamonga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rancho Cucamonga (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rancho Cucamonga?
August is typically the warmest month in Rancho Cucamonga, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Rancho Cucamonga get?
The coldest month in Rancho Cucamonga is December, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Rancho Cucamonga get?
Rancho Cucamonga sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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