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CheckWeather USOntario

Ontario weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Overcast
Feels 84° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Overcast
Feels 78° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 89%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Light drizzle
Feels 75° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for Ontario: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 78° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 73° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 70° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Ontario and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Ontario, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 43°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ontario right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Ontario climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
44°
Feb
60°
43°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
71°
49°
May
75°
53°
Jun
82°
57°
Jul
94°
65°
Aug
93°
66°
Sep
87°
63°
Oct
84°
60°
Nov
72°
49°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ontario?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F90±3.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
89
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F98±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Ontario today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Ontario today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ontario today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Ontario and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ontario?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Ontario (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the European at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ontario?
July is typically the warmest month in Ontario, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Ontario get?
The coldest month in Ontario is February, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Ontario get?
Ontario sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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