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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Riverside weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Riverside's high today between 73° and 79°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain.

76°54°
78°54°
79°59°
78°58°
76°57°
73°59°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
55°
Mainly clear
Feels 55° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for Riverside: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 55° Mainly clear.

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Riverside weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Riverside…

Riverside weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Riverside swings 55°F across the year, from 95°F highs in August to 40°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 15 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 209 days a year at 77°F or above, 130 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 40 days.

Warmest month
August
95°F average high
Coldest month
December
40°F average low
Wettest month
February
15 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and November
Residents
317,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
209 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
40 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Riverside’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Riverside and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Riverside hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Riverside 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
76° 54°
±6°
Tomorrow
Clear
78° 54°
models agree
Mon
Clear
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
78° 58°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
76° 57°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
73° 59°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 60°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
69° 59°
±10°
Sun
Light rain
72° 59°
±19°
Mon
Cloudy
74° 60°
±20°
Tue
Drizzle
75° 60°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
75° 59°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
75° 61°
±7°

Riverside, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 40°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Riverside right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Riverside climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
64°
44°
Feb
65°
46°
Mar
67°
49°
Apr
75°
49°
May
81°
56°
Jun
87°
60°
Jul
93°
61°
Aug
95°
66°
Sep
91°
64°
Oct
82°
53°
Nov
72°
47°
Dec
64°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Riverside's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.4°F

Around Riverside, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2014.

1995: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average1998: −3.1°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2005: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2008: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2010: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2011: −2.2°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2014: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2023: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2024: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

7 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3 vs the 30-year average1996: +6 vs the 30-year average1997: −9 vs the 30-year average1998: −15 vs the 30-year average1999: −19 vs the 30-year average2000: −2 vs the 30-year average2001: +0 vs the 30-year average2002: −1 vs the 30-year average2003: +17 vs the 30-year average2004: −7 vs the 30-year average2005: −18 vs the 30-year average2006: +7 vs the 30-year average2007: −2 vs the 30-year average2008: +17 vs the 30-year average2009: +10 vs the 30-year average2010: −17 vs the 30-year average2011: −13 vs the 30-year average2012: +1 vs the 30-year average2013: +0 vs the 30-year average2014: +2 vs the 30-year average2015: −10 vs the 30-year average2016: +2 vs the 30-year average2017: +7 vs the 30-year average2018: −6 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: +14 vs the 30-year average2021: +9 vs the 30-year average2022: +16 vs the 30-year average2023: −5 vs the 30-year average2024: +13 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

1 more night a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −4 vs the 30-year average1996: −2 vs the 30-year average1997: −0 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: −2 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +4 vs the 30-year average2002: −0 vs the 30-year average2003: −2 vs the 30-year average2004: −1 vs the 30-year average2005: −5 vs the 30-year average2006: +3 vs the 30-year average2007: +4 vs the 30-year average2008: +4 vs the 30-year average2009: −0 vs the 30-year average2010: +1 vs the 30-year average2011: +5 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: +6 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −0 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: −1 vs the 30-year average2018: −0 vs the 30-year average2019: +8 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −0 vs the 30-year average2024: −4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: +6% vs the 30-year average1997: +6% vs the 30-year average1998: +2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: −2% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: +2% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: +2% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: −2% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: +2% vs the 30-year average2024: −9% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.4°F−3−4−2%
1996+0.3°F+6−2+6%
1997−0.1°F−9−0+6%
1998−3.1°F−15+3+2%
1999−1.1°F−19−2+2%
2000−0.2°F−2−4−2%
2001−0.4°F+0+4−5%
2002−0.6°F−1−0−2%
2003+0.5°F+17−2−2%
2004−0.6°F−7−1+2%
2005−1.0°F−18−5−2%
2006+0.1°F+7+3+2%
2007−0.1°F−2+4+2%
2008+0.3°F+17+4+2%
2009−0.2°F+10−0+2%
2010−2.0°F−17+1+2%
2011−2.2°F−13+5+2%
2012+0.7°F+1−2−2%
2013−0.1°F+0+6−2%
2014+2.3°F+2−3−2%
2015+1.6°F−10−0−2%
2016+1.2°F+2−1−2%
2017+1.7°F+7−1−2%
2018+1.4°F−6−0−2%
2019−1.1°F−3+8+2%
2020+1.4°F+14−3−2%
2021+1.0°F+9−2+2%
2022+1.6°F+16−1+2%
2023−1.5°F−5−0+2%
2024+0.8°F+13−4−9%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Riverside, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Riverside?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F94±1.7 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°73° to 79°±8%2% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±3°77° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°78° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°74° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Riverside

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Riverside today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Riverside's high today between 73° and 79°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 78°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Riverside today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Riverside on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 10%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Riverside?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Riverside (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Riverside?
August is typically the warmest month in Riverside, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Riverside get?
The coldest month in Riverside is December, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Riverside get?
Riverside sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Riverside getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Riverside, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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