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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Palm Desert weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Palm Desert today. Tomorrow: clear, around 86°, with a 0% chance of rain.

85°64°
86°65°
86°68°
86°67°
84°68°
82°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Clear
Feels 65° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 59%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 29%
EuropeanECMWF
65°
Mainly clear
Feels 62° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 44%

Latest for Palm Desert: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 66° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 70° Clear · European (ECMWF): 65° Mainly clear.

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Palm Desert weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Palm Desert…

Palm Desert weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Palm Desert swings 58°F across the year, from 107°F highs in July to 49°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 5 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 245 days a year at 77°F or above, 188 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 22 days.

Warmest month
July
107°F average high
Coldest month
December
49°F average low
Wettest month
January
5 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
52,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
245 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
22 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Palm Desert’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palm Desert and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Palm Desert hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Palm Desert 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
85° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
86° 65°
models agree
Mon
Clear
86° 68°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
86° 67°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
84° 68°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
82° 68°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 67°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
74° 64°
±11°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
75° 65°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
77° 66°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
82° 69°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
82° 67°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
81° 71°
±10°

Palm Desert, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 107°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 49°F), with roughly 5 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palm Desert right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palm Desert climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
65°
51°
Feb
68°
52°
Mar
75°
57°
Apr
84°
60°
May
93°
67°
Jun
103°
76°
Jul
107°
82°
Aug
105°
82°
Sep
101°
78°
Oct
87°
65°
Nov
75°
56°
Dec
65°
49°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Palm Desert has changed since 1995

Palm Desert sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Indio. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Indio page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Palm Desert?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.3 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F86±4.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°84° to 85°±19%2% to 21% chance
Tomorrow±1°85° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°85° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°83° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±7°79° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palm Desert

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palm Desert today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Palm Desert today. Tomorrow: clear, around 86°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Palm Desert today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Palm Desert on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 21%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palm Desert?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palm Desert (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palm Desert?
July is typically the warmest month in Palm Desert, with average highs around 107°F.
How cold does Palm Desert get?
The coldest month in Palm Desert is December, when overnight lows average about 49°F.
How much rain does Palm Desert get?
Palm Desert sees roughly 5 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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