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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Coachella weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Coachella today. Tomorrow: clear, around 86°, with a 0% chance of rain.

86°63°
86°64°
87°67°
87°66°
85°66°
83°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
65°
Mainly clear
Feels 59° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
64°
Clear
Feels 61° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 51%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Mainly clear
Feels 63° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 44%

Latest for Coachella: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 65° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 64° Clear · European (ECMWF): 66° Mainly clear.

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Coachella weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Coachella weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Coachella swings 58°F across the year, from 107°F highs in July to 49°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 3 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 252 days a year at 77°F or above, 199 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 15 days.

Warmest month
July
107°F average high
Coldest month
December
49°F average low
Wettest month
January
3 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
45,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
252 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
15 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Coachella’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Coachella and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Coachella hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Coachella 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
86° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
86° 64°
models agree
Mon
Clear
87° 67°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
87° 66°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
85° 66°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
83° 66°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 66°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
75° 64°
±12°
Sun
Drizzle
76° 64°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
79° 65°
±17°
Tue
Cloudy
84° 68°
±12°
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 68°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
83° 70°
±10°

Coachella, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 107°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 49°F), with roughly 3 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Coachella right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Coachella climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
66°
51°
Feb
70°
53°
Mar
77°
58°
Apr
85°
62°
May
93°
71°
Jun
102°
80°
Jul
107°
85°
Aug
105°
85°
Sep
102°
80°
Oct
88°
66°
Nov
75°
57°
Dec
65°
49°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Coachella has changed since 1995

Coachella sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Indio. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Indio page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Coachella?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F92±2.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
67±3.3°F87±4.2 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°85° to 87°±19%2% to 21% chance
Tomorrow±2°86° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°86° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°85° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°81° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coachella

today, local time
Sunrise
06:56
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
11h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coachella today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Coachella today. Tomorrow: clear, around 86°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Coachella today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Coachella on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 21%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coachella?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coachella (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coachella?
July is typically the warmest month in Coachella, with average highs around 107°F.
How cold does Coachella get?
The coldest month in Coachella is December, when overnight lows average about 49°F.
How much rain does Coachella get?
Coachella sees roughly 3 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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