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CheckWeather USCoachella
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Coachella weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Coachella today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 92°, with a 55% chance of rain.

100°76°
92°82°
103°80°
108°86°
108°88°
111°90°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Partly cloudy
Today 99°·Low 80°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Cloudy
Today 101°·Low 71°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 78°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Coachella and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
100° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
92° 82°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
103° 80°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
108° 86°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
108° 88°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
111° 90°
±11°
Fri
Clear
107° 89°
models agree
Sat
Clear
105° 85°
models agree
Sun
Clear
102° 81°
models agree
Mon
Clear
102° 83°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
101° 83°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
101° 88°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
99° 85°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
101° 85°
±5°

Coachella, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 112°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 4 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Coachella right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Coachella climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
65°
50°
Feb
68°
51°
Mar
73°
54°
Apr
87°
64°
May
93°
71°
Jun
101°
79°
Jul
112°
90°
Aug
106°
86°
Sep
101°
79°
Oct
93°
71°
Nov
75°
57°
Dec
72°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Coachella?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F90±3.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F86±4.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°99° to 101°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±4°89° to 94°±43%12% to 55% chance
Mon±5°101° to 106°±8%4% to 12% chance
Tue±5°105° to 111°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±6°104° to 111°±3%10% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coachella

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coachella today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Coachella today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coachella today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Coachella and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coachella?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Coachella (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Coachella?
July is typically the warmest month in Coachella, with average highs around 112°F.
How cold does Coachella get?
The coldest month in Coachella is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does Coachella get?
Coachella sees roughly 4 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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