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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Cathedral City weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Cathedral City's high today between 80° and 85°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 85°, with a 0% chance of rain.

83°64°
85°64°
85°68°
86°67°
83°68°
82°68°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Clear
Today 84°·Low 63°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Mostly clear
Today 85°·Low 65°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Clear
Today 80°·Low 64°·Rain 21%
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Cathedral City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Cathedral City…

Cathedral City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cathedral City swings 60°F across the year, from 107°F highs in July to 47°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 7 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 247 days a year at 77°F or above, 193 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 21 days.

Warmest month
July
107°F average high
Coldest month
December
47°F average low
Wettest month
February
7 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, November and December
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
247 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
21 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cathedral City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cathedral City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cathedral City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cathedral City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
83° 64°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
85° 64°
models agree
Mon
Clear
85° 68°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
86° 67°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
83° 68°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
82° 68°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
79° 67°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
75° 64°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
74° 66°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
77° 65°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
82° 68°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
81° 67°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
82° 70°
±9°

Cathedral City, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 107°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 47°F), with roughly 7 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cathedral City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cathedral City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
65°
51°
Feb
69°
51°
Mar
76°
56°
Apr
85°
59°
May
94°
67°
Jun
102°
75°
Jul
107°
79°
Aug
106°
81°
Sep
100°
76°
Oct
88°
63°
Nov
75°
55°
Dec
65°
47°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Cathedral City's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.4°F

Around Cathedral City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2014.

1995: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average1998: −3.1°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2005: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2014: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

3 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −6 vs the 30-year average1996: +7 vs the 30-year average1997: −10 vs the 30-year average1998: −16 vs the 30-year average1999: −14 vs the 30-year average2000: −1 vs the 30-year average2001: +21 vs the 30-year average2002: +14 vs the 30-year average2003: +14 vs the 30-year average2004: −9 vs the 30-year average2005: −18 vs the 30-year average2006: −2 vs the 30-year average2007: +4 vs the 30-year average2008: +4 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −1 vs the 30-year average2011: −8 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: −2 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: −9 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: −0 vs the 30-year average2018: +12 vs the 30-year average2019: −10 vs the 30-year average2020: +21 vs the 30-year average2021: +9 vs the 30-year average2022: −0 vs the 30-year average2023: −24 vs the 30-year average2024: +30 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

5 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2 vs the 30-year average1996: −4 vs the 30-year average1997: −1 vs the 30-year average1998: +0 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: −7 vs the 30-year average2001: +16 vs the 30-year average2002: +4 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: +4 vs the 30-year average2005: −11 vs the 30-year average2006: +8 vs the 30-year average2007: +15 vs the 30-year average2008: +12 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −2 vs the 30-year average2011: +12 vs the 30-year average2012: +0 vs the 30-year average2013: +12 vs the 30-year average2014: −13 vs the 30-year average2015: −4 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: −3 vs the 30-year average2019: +6 vs the 30-year average2020: −13 vs the 30-year average2021: −7 vs the 30-year average2022: −3 vs the 30-year average2023: +1 vs the 30-year average2024: −12 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: +5% vs the 30-year average1998: +2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: −4% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: −4% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: +2% vs the 30-year average2011: +5% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: +2% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: +2% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.8°F−6−2−1%
1996+0.3°F+7−4+5%
1997−0.6°F−10−1+5%
1998−3.1°F−16+0+2%
1999−1.2°F−14−1+2%
2000−0.3°F−1−7−1%
2001+0.3°F+21+16−4%
2002−0.1°F+14+4+2%
2003+0.8°F+14−6−4%
2004−0.8°F−9+4−1%
2005−1.0°F−18−11−4%
2006−0.3°F−2+8−1%
2007−0.1°F+4+15+2%
2008−0.4°F+4+12+2%
2009−0.4°F+5+5+2%
2010−1.7°F−1−2+2%
2011−1.7°F−8+12+5%
2012+0.8°F−2+0−4%
2013−0.4°F−2+12+2%
2014+2.1°F−6−13−4%
2015+1.0°F−9−4−4%
2016+1.2°F+3−5−1%
2017+1.5°F−0−9+2%
2018+1.2°F+12−3−4%
2019−1.3°F−10+6−1%
2020+1.4°F+21−13+2%
2021+1.5°F+9−7+2%
2022+1.2°F−0−3−1%
2023−1.0°F−24+1+2%
2024+2.1°F+30−12−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Cathedral City, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cathedral City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
75±2.5°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F83±5.2 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°80° to 85°±19%2% to 21% chance
Tomorrow±3°83° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°84° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°83° to 88°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±7°79° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cathedral City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cathedral City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Cathedral City's high today between 80° and 85°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 85°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cathedral City today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Cathedral City on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 21%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cathedral City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cathedral City (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cathedral City?
July is typically the warmest month in Cathedral City, with average highs around 107°F.
How cold does Cathedral City get?
The coldest month in Cathedral City is December, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Cathedral City get?
Cathedral City sees roughly 7 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Cathedral City getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Cathedral City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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