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CheckWeather USOakland
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Oakland weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Oakland's high today between 68° and 74°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 69°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°56°
69°56°
78°55°
82°59°
91°64°
83°66°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±14°Thursdaysplit ±18°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Partly cloudy
Today 72°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Cloudy
Today 68°·Low 56°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oakland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
71° 56°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
69° 56°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 55°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
82° 59°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
91° 64°
±14°
Thu
Mostly clear
83° 66°
±18°
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 61°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
69° 59°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
70° 59°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
71° 59°
±15°
Tue
Clear
72° 57°
±16°
Wed
Cloudy
78° 56°
±21°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 57°
±15°
Fri
Clear
73° 56°
±15°

Oakland, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 43°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oakland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oakland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
45°
Feb
58°
43°
Mar
58°
45°
Apr
64°
46°
May
67°
51°
Jun
72°
53°
Jul
77°
56°
Aug
77°
57°
Sep
76°
56°
Oct
77°
55°
Nov
64°
47°
Dec
60°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oakland?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
67
/100rank #2
25±7.5°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°68° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°67° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±5°76° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±12°77° to 89°±1%2% to 3% chance
Wed±14°86° to 100°models agree4% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oakland

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oakland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Oakland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oakland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Oakland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oakland?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Oakland (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oakland?
July is typically the warmest month in Oakland, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Oakland get?
The coldest month in Oakland is February, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Oakland get?
Oakland sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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