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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Oakland weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Oakland today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain.

70°50°
68°51°
65°54°
64°52°
65°52°
64°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
52°
Clear
Feels 49° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 70%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Clear
Feels 44° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 78%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Mainly clear
Feels 50° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 93%

Latest for Oakland: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 52° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 48° Clear · European (ECMWF): 51° Mainly clear.

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Oakland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Oakland…

Oakland weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Oakland swings 34°F across the year, from 76°F highs in September to 42°F lows in December, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 53 days a year at 77°F or above, 13 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 61 days.

Warmest month
September
76°F average high
Coldest month
December
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
22 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
419,000
share this forecast
Warm days
53 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
61 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Oakland’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oakland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Oakland in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Oakland, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Oakland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Oakland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
70° 50°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
68° 51°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
65° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
64° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
65° 52°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
64° 52°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 51°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 50°
±11°
Sun
Cloudy
69° 52°
±15°
Mon
Light drizzle
65° 55°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 56°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
68° 54°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
68° 56°
±10°

Oakland, California (CA) is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 76°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 42°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oakland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oakland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
43°
Feb
59°
44°
Mar
60°
47°
Apr
64°
46°
May
67°
51°
Jun
72°
53°
Jul
75°
54°
Aug
75°
55°
Sep
76°
56°
Oct
74°
52°
Nov
63°
46°
Dec
57°
42°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Oakland has changed since 1995

Oakland sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Francisco. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Francisco page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°64° to 66°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±3°62° to 65°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±6°62° to 68°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oakland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oakland today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Oakland today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 68°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Oakland today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Oakland on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oakland?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Oakland forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Oakland?
September is typically the warmest month in Oakland, with average highs around 76°F.
How cold does Oakland get?
The coldest month in Oakland is December, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Oakland get?
Oakland sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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