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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Alameda weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Alameda today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 69°, with a 0% chance of rain.

71°51°
69°51°
65°54°
64°52°
65°52°
64°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
52°
Clear
Feels 50° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 70%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Clear
Feels 44° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 78%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Alameda: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 52° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 48° Clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Clear.

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Alameda weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Alameda weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Alameda swings 32°F across the year, from 75°F highs in September to 43°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 21 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 43 days a year at 77°F or above, 10 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 63 days.

Warmest month
September
75°F average high
Coldest month
January
43°F average low
Wettest month
January
21 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
79,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
43 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
63 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Alameda’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Alameda and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Alameda hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Alameda 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
71° 51°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
69° 51°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
65° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
64° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
65° 52°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
64° 52°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 52°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 50°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
69° 52°
±15°
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 55°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 56°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
68° 54°
±11°
Thu
Cloudy
68° 56°
±10°

Alameda, California (CA) is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 75°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 43°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Alameda right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Alameda climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
43°
Feb
58°
44°
Mar
60°
47°
Apr
63°
47°
May
66°
51°
Jun
70°
54°
Jul
74°
55°
Aug
74°
55°
Sep
75°
56°
Oct
73°
53°
Nov
63°
46°
Dec
58°
43°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Alameda has changed since 1995

Alameda sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Francisco. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Francisco page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Alameda?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
72±2.8°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
72
/100rank #2
39±6.1°F93±2.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°69° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°64° to 66°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±3°62° to 65°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±6°62° to 68°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alameda

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alameda today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Alameda today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 69°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Alameda today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Alameda on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alameda?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Alameda (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alameda?
September is typically the warmest month in Alameda, with average highs around 75°F.
How cold does Alameda get?
The coldest month in Alameda is January, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Alameda get?
Alameda sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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