San Francisco (SF) weather
Loading live data…Clear,much the same tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model put San Francisco's high today between 69° and 74°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 67°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Latest for San Francisco: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 53° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 51° Clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Clear.
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San Francisco weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherSan Francisco swings 25°F across the year, from 70°F highs in October to 45°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 28 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 13 days a year at 77°F or above, 3 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 58 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for San Francisco’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around San Francisco and nearby towns.Live rain radar →San Francisco in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour
Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of San Francisco, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗What are you doing?
Where are you going?
San Francisco hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
San Francisco 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitSan Francisco, California (CA). Often shortened to SF, SFO, Bay Area. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Francisco right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down San Francisco's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
San Francisco weather by month
what to expect in San Francisco through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is San Francisco's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to San Francisco by season.
What San Francisco's weather is like through the year
San Francisco runs from warm summers, with October highs near 70°F, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 45°F (a swing of about 25°F across the year). December is usually the wettest month, and San Francisco sees roughly 28 inches of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit San Francisco
The most comfortable time to visit San Francisco is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest December rain is behind you.
How San Francisco's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround San Francisco, 2015-2024 averaged 1.0°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2014.
Days above 86°F
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Days >86°F vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | +0.3°F | +1 | −1% |
| 1996 | +0.3°F | −1 | −1% |
| 1997 | +1.2°F | −3 | +2% |
| 1998 | −0.8°F | −2 | −1% |
| 1999 | −1.5°F | −2 | −1% |
| 2000 | −0.6°F | +0 | −3% |
| 2001 | −0.4°F | −4 | +2% |
| 2002 | −0.8°F | +2 | −3% |
| 2003 | ±0.0°F | +5 | −3% |
| 2004 | +0.1°F | +3 | −1% |
| 2005 | −0.4°F | −3 | −3% |
| 2006 | −0.9°F | −4 | −6% |
| 2007 | −0.9°F | −6 | −1% |
| 2008 | −0.8°F | +4 | −1% |
| 2009 | −0.9°F | +1 | −1% |
| 2010 | −1.3°F | +1 | −1% |
| 2011 | −1.8°F | −5 | −1% |
| 2012 | −0.9°F | −3 | +2% |
| 2013 | −0.6°F | −5 | −1% |
| 2014 | +2.1°F | +1 | −6% |
| 2015 | +1.6°F | +5 | −3% |
| 2016 | +0.7°F | −3 | +2% |
| 2017 | +0.7°F | +0 | +2% |
| 2018 | +0.7°F | −6 | −1% |
| 2019 | +1.0°F | +1 | +5% |
| 2020 | +1.8°F | +10 | −1% |
| 2021 | +0.3°F | −2 | +5% |
| 2022 | +0.5°F | −2 | +5% |
| 2023 | −0.2°F | +1 | +5% |
| 2024 | +1.4°F | +3 | +5% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around San Francisco, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in San Francisco?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for San Francisco, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 79. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.