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CheckWeather USSan Francisco
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

San Francisco weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put San Francisco's high today between 68° and 73°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 68°, with a 1% chance of rain.

70°55°
68°57°
77°55°
79°60°
86°65°
79°66°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Mostly clear
Today 70°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Cloudy
Today 68°·Low 56°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Francisco and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 55°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
68° 57°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
77° 55°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 60°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
86° 65°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 66°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
69° 61°
±6°
Sat
Partly cloudy
67° 60°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
68° 60°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
68° 60°
±10°
Tue
Partly cloudy
68° 58°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 58°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 58°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
68° 58°
±4°

San Francisco, CA. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Francisco right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down San Francisco's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Francisco weather by month

what to expect in San Francisco through the year

Here is San Francisco's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to San Francisco by season.

Jan
57°
47°
Cool
Wettest
Feb
56°
45°
Cool
Mar
56°
47°
Cool
Apr
59°
48°
Mild
May
62°
52°
Mild
Jun
65°
54°
Mild
Jul
68°
56°
Mild
Aug
70°
57°
Mild
Sep
69°
57°
Mild
Oct
73°
55°
Warm
Nov
62°
50°
Mild
Dec
59°
48°
Mild

What San Francisco's weather is like through the year

San Francisco runs from warm summers, with October highs near 73°F, to cool winters, when February lows sit around 45°F (a swing of about 28°F across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and San Francisco sees roughly 33 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit San Francisco

The most comfortable time to visit San Francisco is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Francisco?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
44±5.6°F91±2.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for San Francisco, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 72. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°68° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°67° to 68°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°75° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°77° to 82°±1%2% to 3% chance
Wed±5°82° to 87°models agree4% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Francisco

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Francisco today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Francisco today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Francisco today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Francisco and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Francisco?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for San Francisco (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Francisco?
October is typically the warmest month in San Francisco, with average highs around 73°F.
How cold does San Francisco get?
The coldest month in San Francisco is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does San Francisco get?
San Francisco sees roughly 33 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit San Francisco?
The most comfortable time to visit San Francisco is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in San Francisco?
Rarely - San Francisco very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

More US weather