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Noe Valley weather

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Noe Valley weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Noe Valley weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Noe Valley swings 25°F across the year, from 70°F highs in October to 45°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 30 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 12 days a year at 77°F or above, 3 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 58 days.

Warmest month
October
70°F average high
Coldest month
January
45°F average low
Wettest month
December
30 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
23,000
share this forecast
Warm days
12 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
58 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Noe Valley’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Noe Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Noe Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Noe Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Noe Valley, California (CA) is at its warmest in Oct (average highs near 70°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 30 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Noe Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Noe Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
45°
Feb
57°
46°
Mar
58°
49°
Apr
59°
48°
May
62°
52°
Jun
65°
54°
Jul
66°
54°
Aug
68°
55°
Sep
69°
57°
Oct
70°
52°
Nov
61°
49°
Dec
56°
45°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Noe Valley has changed since 1995

Noe Valley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as San Francisco. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the San Francisco page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Noe Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Noe Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Noe Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Noe Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Noe Valley?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Noe Valley forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Noe Valley?
October is typically the warmest month in Noe Valley, with average highs around 70°F.
How cold does Noe Valley get?
The coldest month in Noe Valley is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Noe Valley get?
Noe Valley sees roughly 30 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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