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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Noblesville weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Noblesville today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 1% chance of rain.

70°43°
72°44°
73°49°
70°49°
73°52°
74°52°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Mostly clear
Today 71°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Fog
Today 70°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 46°·Rain 0%
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Noblesville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Noblesville…

Noblesville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Noblesville swings 59°F across the year, from 81°F highs in June to 22°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 114 days a year at 77°F or above, 33 of them at 86°F or above, 97 frost nights, and rain on 126 days.

Warmest month
June
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
22°F average low
Wettest month
May
41 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
59,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
114 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
97 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
126 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Noblesville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Noblesville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Noblesville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Noblesville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
70° 43°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 44°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
73° 49°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
70° 49°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 52°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
74° 52°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
73° 49°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
71° 52°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
68° 56°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
62° 46°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
54° 41°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
53° 40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
58° 43°
±16°

Noblesville, Indiana (IN) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 22°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Noblesville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Noblesville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
35°
22°
Feb
41°
22°
Mar
50°
31°
Apr
62°
41°
May
72°
51°
Jun
81°
61°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
76°
56°
Oct
64°
45°
Nov
50°
34°
Dec
39°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Noblesville has changed since 1995

Noblesville sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Indianapolis. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Indianapolis page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Noblesville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
98±0.2°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°70° to 74°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°72° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°69° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°72° to 74°±2%2% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Noblesville

today, local time
Sunrise
08:04
Sunset
18:51
Daylight
10h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Noblesville today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Noblesville today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Noblesville today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Noblesville on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Noblesville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Noblesville (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Noblesville?
June is typically the warmest month in Noblesville, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Noblesville get?
The coldest month in Noblesville is January, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Noblesville get?
Noblesville sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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