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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Indianapolis (Indy) weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Indianapolis today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 1% chance of rain.

70°46°
73°46°
73°51°
71°52°
74°54°
75°54°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
55°
Clear
Feels 54° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
51°
Clear
Feels 49° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
53°
Mainly clear
Feels 52° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 76%

Latest for Indianapolis: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 55° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 51° Clear · European (ECMWF): 53° Mainly clear.

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Indianapolis weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Indianapolis…

Indianapolis weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Indianapolis swings 61°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 22°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 121 days a year at 77°F or above, 40 of them at 86°F or above, 95 frost nights, and rain on 130 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
22°F average low
Wettest month
May
42 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
888,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
121 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
95 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
130 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Indianapolis’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Indianapolis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Indianapolis in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Indianapolis, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Indianapolis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Indianapolis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 46°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 46°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
73° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
71° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 54°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
75° 54°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
73° 51°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
72° 53°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
68° 58°
±6°
Mon
Light rain
63° 49°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
55° 44°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
54° 43°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
59° 45°
±16°

Indianapolis, Indiana (IN). Often shortened to Indy. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Indianapolis right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Indianapolis's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Indianapolis weather by month

what to expect in Indianapolis through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Indianapolis's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Indianapolis by season.

Jan
35°
22°
Cold
Feb
42°
22°
Cool
Mar
51°
32°
Cool
Apr
62°
42°
Mild
May
72°
52°
Warm
Wettest
Jun
82°
61°
Warm
Jul
83°
64°
Warm
Aug
82°
64°
Warm
Sep
76°
57°
Warm
Oct
65°
45°
Mild
Nov
50°
34°
Cool
Dec
40°
27°
Cool

What Indianapolis's weather is like through the year

Indianapolis runs from warm summers, with July highs near 83°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 22°F (a swing of about 61°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Indianapolis sees roughly 42 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 3 months (January, February and December), so Indianapolis sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Indianapolis

The most comfortable time to visit Indianapolis is usually April, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.

How Indianapolis' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.6°F

Around Indianapolis, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.8°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.2°F vs the 30-year average1998: +1.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2000: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2008: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.5°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2014: −3.1°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2024: +3.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

6 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +8 vs the 30-year average1996: −8 vs the 30-year average1997: −13 vs the 30-year average1998: −10 vs the 30-year average1999: +27 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: +9 vs the 30-year average2002: +10 vs the 30-year average2003: −13 vs the 30-year average2004: −24 vs the 30-year average2005: +13 vs the 30-year average2006: −11 vs the 30-year average2007: +18 vs the 30-year average2008: −24 vs the 30-year average2009: −23 vs the 30-year average2010: +5 vs the 30-year average2011: +2 vs the 30-year average2012: +38 vs the 30-year average2013: −6 vs the 30-year average2014: −18 vs the 30-year average2015: −17 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: −13 vs the 30-year average2018: +5 vs the 30-year average2019: −4 vs the 30-year average2020: +3 vs the 30-year average2021: +12 vs the 30-year average2022: +12 vs the 30-year average2023: +17 vs the 30-year average2024: +23 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6 vs the 30-year average1996: +19 vs the 30-year average1997: +13 vs the 30-year average1998: −23 vs the 30-year average1999: −2 vs the 30-year average2000: +3 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +4 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: −8 vs the 30-year average2005: −1 vs the 30-year average2006: −7 vs the 30-year average2007: +7 vs the 30-year average2008: +15 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: −3 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: −8 vs the 30-year average2013: +21 vs the 30-year average2014: +20 vs the 30-year average2015: −14 vs the 30-year average2016: −3 vs the 30-year average2017: −15 vs the 30-year average2018: +15 vs the 30-year average2019: +12 vs the 30-year average2020: −1 vs the 30-year average2021: +4 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −13 vs the 30-year average2024: −33 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −2% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: +1% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: −4% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: +1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −4% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°F+8+6−2%
1996−2.8°F−8+19+5%
1997−2.2°F−13+13+3%
1998+1.7°F−10−23−4%
1999+0.8°F+27−2+3%
2000−1.0°F−6+3+1%
2001+0.7°F+9−3+1%
2002+0.1°F+10+4+3%
2003−1.7°F−13+5+1%
2004−0.6°F−24−8+3%
2005+0.1°F+13−1−4%
2006+0.5°F−11−7−2%
2007+0.7°F+18+7+1%
2008−2.0°F−24+15+5%
2009−1.5°F−23−2−2%
2010+0.3°F+5−3−4%
2011+0.1°F+2−9+1%
2012+2.5°F+38−8+1%
2013−1.5°F−6+21+1%
2014−3.1°F−18+20+1%
2015−0.1°F−17−14−2%
2016+1.6°F+1−3−2%
2017+1.2°F−13−15+3%
2018−0.1°F+5+15−2%
2019−0.1°F−4+12+1%
2020+0.8°F+3−1−4%
2021+1.2°F+12+4−4%
2022+0.1°F+12−1+3%
2023+2.3°F+17−13−4%
2024+3.2°F+23−33−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Indianapolis, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Indianapolis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F97±0.8 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Indianapolis, scoring 96/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 82. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°71° to 74°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±2°72° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°70° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°73° to 75°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Indianapolis

today, local time
Sunrise
08:04
Sunset
18:52
Daylight
10h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Indianapolis today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Indianapolis today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Indianapolis today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Indianapolis on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Indianapolis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Indianapolis (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Indianapolis?
July is typically the warmest month in Indianapolis, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Indianapolis get?
The coldest month in Indianapolis is January, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Indianapolis get?
Indianapolis sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Indianapolis?
The most comfortable time to visit Indianapolis is usually April, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Indianapolis?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 3 months (January, February and December) in Indianapolis, so winter snowfall is common.
Is Indianapolis getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Indianapolis, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More US weather