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CheckWeather USIndianapolis
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Indianapolis weather

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Showers,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Indianapolis's high today between 88° and 92°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 81°, with a 3% chance of rain.

91°72°
81°67°
82°62°
90°66°
93°74°
80°69°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Showers
Today 92°·Low 74°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Showers
Today 92°·Low 71°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Thunderstorm
Today 88°·Low 71°·Rain 71%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Indianapolis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
91° 72°
±4°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
81° 67°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
82° 62°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
90° 66°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
93° 74°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
80° 69°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
83° 63°
±13°
Sat
Light drizzle
84° 65°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
88° 69°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
81° 64°
±22°
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 59°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
71° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
73° 54°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
72° 56°
models agree

Indianapolis, IN. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Indianapolis right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Indianapolis's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Indianapolis weather by month

what to expect in Indianapolis through the year

Here is Indianapolis's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Indianapolis by season.

Jan
39°
26°
Cold
Feb
50°
30°
Cool
Mar
54°
35°
Cool
Wettest
Apr
64°
44°
Mild
May
75°
55°
Warm
Jun
83°
62°
Warm
Jul
85°
66°
Hot
Aug
83°
65°
Warm
Sep
79°
60°
Warm
Oct
68°
48°
Mild
Nov
54°
38°
Cool
Dec
45°
32°
Cool

What Indianapolis's weather is like through the year

Indianapolis runs from warm summers, with July highs near 85°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 26°F (a swing of about 59°F across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and Indianapolis sees roughly 42 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 2 months (January and February), so Indianapolis sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Indianapolis

The most comfortable time to visit Indianapolis is usually April, May and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Indianapolis?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F95±1.7 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Indianapolis, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 60. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°88° to 92°±46%25% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±2°80° to 82°±3%0% to 3% chance
Mon±2°81° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tuemodels agree90° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°92° to 95°±7%15% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Indianapolis

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
20:09
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Indianapolis today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Indianapolis today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Indianapolis today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Indianapolis and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Indianapolis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Indianapolis (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Indianapolis?
July is typically the warmest month in Indianapolis, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Indianapolis get?
The coldest month in Indianapolis is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Indianapolis get?
Indianapolis sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Indianapolis?
The most comfortable time to visit Indianapolis is usually April, May and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Indianapolis?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 2 months (January and February) in Indianapolis, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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