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CheckWeather USMorgan Hill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Morgan Hill weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Morgan Hill today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

82°55°
79°54°
88°54°
92°60°
100°68°
98°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±14°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mostly clear
Today 83°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Partly cloudy
Today 81°·Low 56°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Morgan Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
82° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
79° 54°
models agree
Mon
Clear
88° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
92° 60°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
100° 68°
±12°
Thu
Mostly clear
98° 71°
±14°
Fri
Cloudy
87° 62°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
83° 57°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 54°
±14°
Mon
Cloudy
82° 56°
±22°
Tue
Mostly clear
85° 56°
±23°
Wed
Cloudy
90° 58°
±19°
Thu
Cloudy
84° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
79° 55°
±4°

Morgan Hill, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 29 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Morgan Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Morgan Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
43°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
59°
43°
Apr
68°
46°
May
74°
51°
Jun
83°
55°
Jul
95°
61°
Aug
91°
61°
Sep
86°
58°
Oct
82°
56°
Nov
67°
46°
Dec
64°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morgan Hill?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F82±5.5 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
62±3.8°F95±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°81° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°88° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°89° to 94°±1%2% to 3% chance
Wed±12°95° to 107°±16%4% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morgan Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morgan Hill today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Morgan Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morgan Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Morgan Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morgan Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Morgan Hill (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morgan Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Morgan Hill, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Morgan Hill get?
The coldest month in Morgan Hill is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Morgan Hill get?
Morgan Hill sees roughly 29 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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