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Morgan Hill weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
46°
Clear
Feels 43° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
46°
Clear
Feels 42° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Clear
Feels 48° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 68%

Latest for Morgan Hill: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 46° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 46° Clear · European (ECMWF): 51° Clear.

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Morgan Hill weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Morgan Hill weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Morgan Hill swings 53°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 41°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 17 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 152 days a year at 77°F or above, 84 of them at 86°F or above, 2 frost nights, and rain on 55 days.

Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
February
41°F average low
Wettest month
January
17 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and November
Residents
43,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
152 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
2 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
55 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Morgan Hill’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Morgan Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morgan Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morgan Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Morgan Hill, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Morgan Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Morgan Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
57°
42°
Feb
59°
41°
Mar
61°
45°
Apr
69°
47°
May
75°
52°
Jun
84°
56°
Jul
94°
60°
Aug
90°
60°
Sep
87°
59°
Oct
79°
53°
Nov
66°
45°
Dec
60°
41°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Morgan Hill has changed since 1995

Morgan Hill sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Santa Cruz. That square ran 1.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Santa Cruz page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Morgan Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F86±4.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F94±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Morgan Hill today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Morgan Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morgan Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Morgan Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morgan Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Morgan Hill (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morgan Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Morgan Hill, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Morgan Hill get?
The coldest month in Morgan Hill is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Morgan Hill get?
Morgan Hill sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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