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CheckWeather USWatsonville
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Watsonville weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Watsonville's high today between 71° and 78°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 74°, with a 0% chance of rain.

76°55°
74°54°
75°52°
79°57°
93°65°
85°65°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±20°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Clear
Feels 68° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 59%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Clear
Feels 70° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 55%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Clear
Feels 77° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 48%

Latest for Watsonville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 69° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 72° Clear · European (ECMWF): 77° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Watsonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
76° 55°
±7°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
74° 54°
±8°
Mon
Clear
75° 52°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 57°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
93° 65°
±20°
Thu
Cloudy
85° 65°
±13°
Fri
Cloudy
76° 60°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
71° 57°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
71° 53°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
74° 55°
±7°
Tue
Partly cloudy
75° 54°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
81° 55°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
77° 55°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
71° 55°
±9°

Watsonville, CA is at its warmest in Oct (average highs near 72°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 42°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Watsonville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Watsonville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
44°
Feb
58°
42°
Mar
58°
44°
Apr
60°
45°
May
61°
49°
Jun
64°
51°
Jul
67°
54°
Aug
69°
55°
Sep
69°
55°
Oct
72°
53°
Nov
65°
45°
Dec
63°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°71° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±8°70° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±8°72° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±10°73° to 83°±2%4% to 6% chance
Wed±20°80° to 101°±7%10% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Watsonville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Watsonville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Watsonville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Watsonville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Watsonville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Watsonville?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Watsonville forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Watsonville?
October is typically the warmest month in Watsonville, with average highs around 72°F.
How cold does Watsonville get?
The coldest month in Watsonville is February, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Watsonville get?
Watsonville sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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