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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Meriden weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in Meriden today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

60°35°
64°37°
67°39°
55°39°
55°34°
61°42°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
47°
Mainly clear
Feels 43° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
42°
Overcast
Feels 37° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
44°
Overcast
Feels 38° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 66%

Latest for Meriden: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 47° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 42° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 44° Overcast.

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Meriden weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Meriden…

Meriden weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Meriden swings 61°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 22°F lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 86 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 103 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
22°F average low
Wettest month
October
54 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, June and September
Residents
60,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
86 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
103 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
129 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Meriden’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Meriden and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Meriden hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Meriden 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
60° 35°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
64° 37°
models agree
Mon
Clear
67° 39°
models agree
Tue
Clear
55° 39°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
55° 34°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
61° 42°
models agree
Fri
Clear
67° 46°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
62° 44°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
61° 44°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 47°
±20°
Tue
Light drizzle
61° 46°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
52° 37°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 36°
models agree

Meriden, Connecticut (CT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 22°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Meriden right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Meriden climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
36°
22°
Feb
39°
22°
Mar
47°
29°
Apr
57°
38°
May
68°
48°
Jun
78°
58°
Jul
83°
66°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
63°
45°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
41°
27°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Meriden has changed since 1995

Meriden sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as New Britain. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the New Britain page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Meriden?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F96±1.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°60° to 61°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°64° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°66° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°54° to 56°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°54° to 56°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Meriden

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Meriden today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in Meriden today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Meriden today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Meriden on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Meriden?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Meriden (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Meriden?
July is typically the warmest month in Meriden, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Meriden get?
The coldest month in Meriden is January, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Meriden get?
Meriden sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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