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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

New Britain weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in New Britain today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

60°35°
64°36°
68°40°
55°40°
54°34°
62°42°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Partly cloudy
Today 60°·Low 33°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Cloudy
Today 61°·Low 34°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
59°
Cloudy
Today 59°·Low 36°·Rain 0%
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New Britain weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering New Britain…

New Britain weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

New Britain swings 62°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 22°F lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 59 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 93 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 105 frost nights, and rain on 128 days.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
22°F average low
Wettest month
October
59 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
73,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
93 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
105 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
128 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for New Britain’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around New Britain and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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New Britain hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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New Britain 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
60° 35°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
64° 36°
models agree
Mon
Clear
68° 40°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
55° 40°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
54° 34°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
62° 42°
models agree
Fri
Clear
67° 47°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
62° 45°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
61° 44°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
61° 47°
±20°
Tue
Light drizzle
61° 47°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
51° 40°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
55° 38°
models agree

New Britain, Connecticut (CT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 22°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for New Britain right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

New Britain climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
35°
22°
Feb
39°
22°
Mar
47°
29°
Apr
58°
37°
May
69°
48°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
74°
56°
Oct
63°
45°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
40°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How New Britain's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.4°F

Around New Britain, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.5°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average1998: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2002: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2003: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average2004: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

8 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6 vs the 30-year average1996: −14 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: −9 vs the 30-year average1999: +19 vs the 30-year average2000: −19 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +21 vs the 30-year average2003: −11 vs the 30-year average2004: −15 vs the 30-year average2005: +9 vs the 30-year average2006: −14 vs the 30-year average2007: +6 vs the 30-year average2008: −8 vs the 30-year average2009: −16 vs the 30-year average2010: +11 vs the 30-year average2011: −8 vs the 30-year average2012: +11 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: −7 vs the 30-year average2015: +12 vs the 30-year average2016: +20 vs the 30-year average2017: −4 vs the 30-year average2018: +6 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: −7 vs the 30-year average2022: +17 vs the 30-year average2023: −7 vs the 30-year average2024: −8 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

9 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +13 vs the 30-year average1996: +13 vs the 30-year average1997: +26 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −2 vs the 30-year average2001: +2 vs the 30-year average2002: −2 vs the 30-year average2003: +8 vs the 30-year average2004: +4 vs the 30-year average2005: +10 vs the 30-year average2006: −10 vs the 30-year average2007: +9 vs the 30-year average2008: +9 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −7 vs the 30-year average2011: −4 vs the 30-year average2012: −18 vs the 30-year average2013: +14 vs the 30-year average2014: +7 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −9 vs the 30-year average2017: −8 vs the 30-year average2018: +11 vs the 30-year average2019: +9 vs the 30-year average2020: −11 vs the 30-year average2021: −3 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −17 vs the 30-year average2024: −19 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: +6% vs the 30-year average1998: −2% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: +2% vs the 30-year average2007: −2% vs the 30-year average2008: −2% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: +6% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: −6% vs the 30-year average2013: −2% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: +2% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: −2% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −6% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°F+6+13+2%
1996−2.5°F−14+13+2%
1997−1.6°F−3+26+6%
1998+0.7°F−9−14−2%
1999+1.1°F+19−6+2%
2000−1.6°F−19−2+2%
2001+0.5°F−3+2−2%
2002+1.1°F+21−2+2%
2003−2.0°F−11+8+2%
2004−1.3°F−15+4−2%
2005−0.2°F+9+10−2%
2006+0.5°F−14−10+2%
2007−0.6°F+6+9−2%
2008−0.4°F−8+9−2%
2009−1.5°F−16−6−2%
2010+0.7°F+11−7+6%
2011+0.3°F−8−4−2%
2012+2.1°F+11−18−6%
2013−0.6°F−5+14−2%
2014−1.5°F−7+7−2%
2015−0.4°F+12−2−2%
2016+1.2°F+20−9+2%
2017+0.3°F−4−8+2%
2018−0.2°F+6+11−2%
2019−0.4°F+4+9−2%
2020+1.6°F+17−11+2%
2021+1.1°F−7−3−2%
2022+1.1°F+17−6+2%
2023+1.8°F−7−17−6%
2024+1.4°F−8−19−6%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around New Britain, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in New Britain?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°59° to 61°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°63° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°67° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°54° to 56°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°52° to 56°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New Britain

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
17:56
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in New Britain today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 60° in New Britain today. Tomorrow: clear, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in New Britain today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in New Britain on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for New Britain?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for New Britain (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New Britain?
July is typically the warmest month in New Britain, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does New Britain get?
The coldest month in New Britain is January, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does New Britain get?
New Britain sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is New Britain getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around New Britain, 2015-2024 averaged 1.4°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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