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Lone Tree weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Mainly clear
Feels 42° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
50°
Mainly clear
Feels 42° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 46%
EuropeanECMWF
50°
Partly cloudy
Feels 44° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 49%

Latest for Lone Tree: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 50° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 50° Partly cloudy.

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Lone Tree weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lone Tree…

Lone Tree weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lone Tree swings 70°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 16°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 19 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 113 days a year at 77°F or above, 55 of them at 86°F or above, 149 frost nights, and rain on 83 days.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
16°F average low
Wettest month
May
19 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
113 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
149 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
83 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lone Tree’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lone Tree and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lone Tree hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lone Tree 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lone Tree, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lone Tree right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lone Tree climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
16°
Feb
44°
18°
Mar
52°
27°
Apr
60°
33°
May
69°
44°
Jun
81°
54°
Jul
86°
57°
Aug
85°
58°
Sep
78°
49°
Oct
64°
36°
Nov
50°
25°
Dec
42°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lone Tree has changed since 1995

Lone Tree sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Denver. That square ran 0.9°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Denver page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lone Tree today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lone Tree today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lone Tree today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lone Tree and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lone Tree?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Lone Tree forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Lone Tree?
July is typically the warmest month in Lone Tree, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Lone Tree get?
The coldest month in Lone Tree is January, when overnight lows average about 16°F.
How much rain does Lone Tree get?
Lone Tree sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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