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CheckWeather USCentennial
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Centennial weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Centennial today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 90°, with a 63% chance of rain.

91°61°
90°62°
87°62°
85°63°
82°62°
88°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Partly cloudy
Today 90°·Low 65°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Cloudy
Today 92°·Low 61°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 57°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Centennial and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
91° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
90° 62°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
87° 62°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
85° 63°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 62°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
88° 60°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
88° 61°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
79° 58°
±11°
Sun
Light drizzle
70° 56°
±13°
Mon
Partly cloudy
76° 51°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 54°
±9°
Wed
Clear
87° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
88° 58°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
80° 61°
models agree

Centennial, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Centennial right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Centennial climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
14°
Feb
46°
19°
Mar
49°
24°
Apr
61°
35°
May
70°
44°
Jun
81°
55°
Jul
88°
60°
Aug
87°
61°
Sep
81°
52°
Oct
69°
42°
Nov
51°
27°
Dec
48°
26°

Which forecast is most accurate in Centennial?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F93±2.1 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F83±5.3 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°90° to 92°±1%10% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±2°89° to 91°±55%8% to 63% chance
Mon±5°85° to 90°±53%35% to 88% chance
Tue±6°82° to 88°±29%24% to 53% chance
Wed±7°80° to 86°±2%22% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Centennial

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:24
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Centennial today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Centennial today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Centennial today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Centennial and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Centennial?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Centennial (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Centennial?
July is typically the warmest month in Centennial, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Centennial get?
The coldest month in Centennial is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Centennial get?
Centennial sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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