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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Denver weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Denver today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 61°, with a 63% chance of rain.

58°46°
61°42°
60°46°
68°41°
67°43°
70°44°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
50°
Partly cloudy
Feels 43° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 56%
AmericanNOAA GFS
53°
Overcast
Feels 46° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 44%
EuropeanECMWF
52°
Partly cloudy
Feels 46° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 45%

Latest for Denver: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 50° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 53° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 52° Partly cloudy.

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Denver weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Denver…

Denver weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Denver swings 74°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 14°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 17 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 121 days a year at 77°F or above, 67 of them at 86°F or above, 152 frost nights, and rain on 77 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
14°F average low
Wettest month
May
17 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
729,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
121 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
152 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
77 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Denver’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Denver and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Denver in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Denver, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Denver hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Denver 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
58° 46°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
61° 42°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
60° 46°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
68° 41°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
67° 43°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
70° 44°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
69° 46°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
68° 47°
±6°
Sun
Light snow
61° 45°
±4°
Mon
Light snow
63° 42°
models agree
Tue
Clear
69° 41°
models agree
Wed
Clear
61° 45°
±22°
Thu
Cloudy
59° 42°
±25°

Denver, Colorado (CO). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Denver right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Denver's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Denver weather by month

what to expect in Denver through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Denver's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Denver by season.

Jan
38°
14°
Cold
Feb
44°
14°
Cool
Mar
53°
26°
Cool
Apr
62°
32°
Mild
May
71°
44°
Mild
Wettest
Jun
82°
54°
Warm
Jul
88°
57°
Hot
Aug
86°
57°
Hot
Sep
80°
47°
Warm
Oct
65°
35°
Mild
Nov
50°
24°
Cool
Dec
42°
20°
Cool

What Denver's weather is like through the year

Denver runs from warm summers, with July highs near 88°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 14°F (a swing of about 74°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Denver sees roughly 17 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December), so Denver sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Denver

The most comfortable time to visit Denver is usually April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.

How Denver's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.9°F

Around Denver, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°F warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average1996: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average1999: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2006: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2011: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average2014: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.0°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2023: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.9°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

11 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −11 vs the 30-year average1996: −9 vs the 30-year average1997: −16 vs the 30-year average1998: −11 vs the 30-year average1999: −28 vs the 30-year average2000: +14 vs the 30-year average2001: +7 vs the 30-year average2002: +24 vs the 30-year average2003: +3 vs the 30-year average2004: −25 vs the 30-year average2005: +1 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: −2 vs the 30-year average2008: +5 vs the 30-year average2009: −19 vs the 30-year average2010: +4 vs the 30-year average2011: +14 vs the 30-year average2012: +20 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: −19 vs the 30-year average2015: −17 vs the 30-year average2016: −0 vs the 30-year average2017: −8 vs the 30-year average2018: +12 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: +25 vs the 30-year average2021: +20 vs the 30-year average2022: +9 vs the 30-year average2023: −0 vs the 30-year average2024: +15 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

2 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +7 vs the 30-year average1996: +5 vs the 30-year average1997: +9 vs the 30-year average1998: −3 vs the 30-year average1999: −3 vs the 30-year average2000: +0 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: +8 vs the 30-year average2003: −9 vs the 30-year average2004: −14 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: +0 vs the 30-year average2007: −13 vs the 30-year average2008: +13 vs the 30-year average2009: +2 vs the 30-year average2010: +7 vs the 30-year average2011: +16 vs the 30-year average2012: −22 vs the 30-year average2013: +21 vs the 30-year average2014: +5 vs the 30-year average2015: −13 vs the 30-year average2016: −14 vs the 30-year average2017: −16 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: +16 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −8 vs the 30-year average2022: +7 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: −0% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: −0% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: +5% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +8% vs the 30-year average2009: +3% vs the 30-year average2010: −0% vs the 30-year average2011: +5% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: −3% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −8% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −5% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: −3% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.3°F−11+7−5%
1996−0.9°F−9+5+5%
1997−1.7°F−16+9−3%
1998−0.6°F−11−3−5%
1999−0.2°F−28−3+3%
2000+0.3°F+14+0−0%
2001+0.7°F+7−1−3%
2002+0.3°F+24+8−0%
2003+0.7°F+3−9−0%
2004−0.4°F−25−14−0%
2005+0.7°F+1−4−0%
2006+0.1°F−0+0+5%
2007+0.1°F−2−13+3%
2008−1.1°F+5+13+8%
2009−1.7°F−19+2+3%
2010−0.2°F+4+7−0%
2011−0.6°F+14+16+5%
2012+2.1°F+20−22+3%
2013−1.5°F+1+21−3%
2014−0.9°F−19+5+3%
2015+0.1°F−17−13−8%
2016+0.9°F−0−14−0%
2017+1.2°F−8−16+3%
2018+0.9°F+12+9−3%
2019−1.1°F+4+16−5%
2020+0.9°F+25+2+3%
2021+1.0°F+20−8−3%
2022+0.3°F+9+7+3%
2023−0.2°F−0−4−5%
2024+1.9°F+15−4−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Denver, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Denver?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.1 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F91±2.9 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Denver, scoring 97/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°57° to 59°±19%9% to 28% chance
Tomorrow±4°60° to 64°±7%56% to 63% chance
Mon±1°59° to 61°±11%53% to 64% chance
Tue±4°66° to 71°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±2°66° to 68°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Denver

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
10h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Denver today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 58° in Denver today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 61°, with a 63% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Denver today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Denver on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 56% (NWS 63%, American 63%, European 56%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 28%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Denver?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Denver (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Denver?
July is typically the warmest month in Denver, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Denver get?
The coldest month in Denver is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Denver get?
Denver sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Denver?
The most comfortable time to visit Denver is usually April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Denver?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December) in Denver, so winter snowfall is common.
Is Denver getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Denver, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More US weather