Commerce City weather
Loading live data…Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Commerce City today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 62°, with a 63% chance of rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Commerce City weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Commerce City…
Commerce City weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherCommerce City swings 71°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 16°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 119 days a year at 77°F or above, 64 of them at 86°F or above, 146 frost nights, and rain on 79 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Commerce City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Commerce City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Commerce City hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Commerce City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitCommerce City, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Commerce City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Commerce City climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Commerce City has changed since 1995
Commerce City sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Thornton. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Thornton page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Commerce City?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.