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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Laramie weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 47° in Laramie today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 53°, with a 58% chance of rain.

47°35°
53°33°
51°37°
55°36°
58°36°
58°37°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
46°
Cloudy
Today 46°·Low 34°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Cloudy
Today 48°·Low 35°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
48°
Cloudy
Today 48°·Low 36°·Rain 20%
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Laramie weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Laramie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Laramie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Laramie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
47° 35°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
53° 33°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
51° 37°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
55° 36°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
58° 36°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
58° 37°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
60° 41°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
55° 38°
±6°
Sun
Light snow
48° 33°
±9°
Mon
Clear
54° 32°
models agree
Tue
Clear
60° 33°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
51° 28°
±25°
Thu
Partly cloudy
51° 30°
±25°

Laramie is a small town of about 32,000 people in Wyoming (WY), sitting at 41.3°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Laramie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Cheyenne, Ranchettes, Wellington.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How Laramie's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°F

Around Laramie, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1998: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.6°F vs the 30-year average2001: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2003: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2005: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2008: −2.3°F vs the 30-year average2009: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2012: +2.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2014: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2022: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2023: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.7°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3 vs the 30-year average1996: −12 vs the 30-year average1997: −13 vs the 30-year average1998: −6 vs the 30-year average1999: −9 vs the 30-year average2000: +6 vs the 30-year average2001: +12 vs the 30-year average2002: +17 vs the 30-year average2003: +21 vs the 30-year average2004: −11 vs the 30-year average2005: −7 vs the 30-year average2006: +3 vs the 30-year average2007: +7 vs the 30-year average2008: −5 vs the 30-year average2009: −18 vs the 30-year average2010: −14 vs the 30-year average2011: −5 vs the 30-year average2012: +15 vs the 30-year average2013: +5 vs the 30-year average2014: −7 vs the 30-year average2015: −6 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: −5 vs the 30-year average2018: −2 vs the 30-year average2019: −4 vs the 30-year average2020: +8 vs the 30-year average2021: +21 vs the 30-year average2022: +17 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: +7 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

9 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +15 vs the 30-year average1996: +9 vs the 30-year average1997: +5 vs the 30-year average1998: +1 vs the 30-year average1999: +0 vs the 30-year average2000: +7 vs the 30-year average2001: −2 vs the 30-year average2002: +17 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: −13 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: −7 vs the 30-year average2008: +4 vs the 30-year average2009: +9 vs the 30-year average2010: −4 vs the 30-year average2011: +10 vs the 30-year average2012: −19 vs the 30-year average2013: +13 vs the 30-year average2014: −7 vs the 30-year average2015: −18 vs the 30-year average2016: −14 vs the 30-year average2017: −7 vs the 30-year average2018: +2 vs the 30-year average2019: +18 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: −4 vs the 30-year average2023: −15 vs the 30-year average2024: −9 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1% vs the 30-year average1996: +8% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: −6% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: +3% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +6% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: +6% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −8% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: +1% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°F−3+15+1%
1996−1.0°F−12+9+8%
1997−1.4°F−13+5+1%
1998−0.3°F−6+1−6%
1999+0.4°F−9+0+3%
2000+0.6°F+6+7+1%
2001+1.3°F+12−2−2%
2002+0.2°F+17+17+1%
2003+1.3°F+21−1−1%
2004−0.3°F−11−13−1%
2005±0.0°F−7−6−2%
2006−0.1°F+3+6+3%
2007+0.2°F+7−7−1%
2008−2.3°F−5+4+6%
2009−2.1°F−18+9+1%
2010−1.4°F−14−4−2%
2011−1.6°F−5+10+6%
2012+2.7°F+15−19−1%
2013−0.9°F+5+13−1%
2014−0.5°F−7−7+3%
2015+1.5°F−6−18−8%
2016+1.1°F+1−14+1%
2017+1.1°F−5−7−1%
2018±0.0°F−2+2−2%
2019−1.9°F−4+18−1%
2020+0.2°F+8+2+1%
2021+0.9°F+21−2−1%
2022−0.1°F+17−4+1%
2023+0.2°F−2−15−4%
2024+2.7°F+7−9−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Laramie, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Laramie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F90±3.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°46° to 48°±12%8% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±4°52° to 55°±26%32% to 58% chance
Mon±1°50° to 51°±23%35% to 58% chance
Tue±4°53° to 57°±7%5% to 12% chance
Wed±3°57° to 59°±3%2% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Laramie

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
10h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Laramie today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 47° in Laramie today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 53°, with a 58% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Laramie today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Laramie on Sunday, October 25: NWS 58%, American 58%, European 32%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 20%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Laramie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Laramie (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
Is Laramie getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Laramie, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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