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CheckWeather USFort Collins
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Fort Collins weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Fort Collins today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 90°, with a 29% chance of rain.

94°63°
90°63°
88°64°
87°64°
85°62°
90°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Light drizzle
Today 92°·Low 64°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Cloudy
Today 96°·Low 63°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 63°·Rain 18%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fort Collins and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
94° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
90° 63°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
88° 64°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
87° 64°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
85° 62°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
90° 61°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
89° 62°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
77° 58°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 54°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 50°
±15°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 54°
±7°
Wed
Clear
88° 59°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
88° 64°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
80° 67°
models agree

Fort Collins, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 15°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fort Collins right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fort Collins climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
15°
Feb
42°
16°
Mar
49°
24°
Apr
61°
33°
May
70°
45°
Jun
80°
55°
Jul
87°
59°
Aug
86°
59°
Sep
82°
52°
Oct
68°
41°
Nov
50°
28°
Dec
46°
25°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Collins?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F92±2.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F89±3.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°92° to 96°±7%11% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±1°90° to 90°±13%16% to 29% chance
Mon±2°87° to 89°±31%18% to 49% chance
Tue±5°84° to 90°±11%18% to 29% chance
Wed±10°81° to 91°±8%7% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Collins

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Collins today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fort Collins today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fort Collins today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fort Collins and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Collins?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Collins (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Collins?
July is typically the warmest month in Fort Collins, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Fort Collins get?
The coldest month in Fort Collins is January, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Fort Collins get?
Fort Collins sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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