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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Loveland weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 56° in Loveland today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 57°, with a 66% chance of rain.

56°44°
57°41°
59°44°
66°39°
65°41°
67°42°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
55°
Cloudy
Today 55°·Low 44°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
56°
Light drizzle
Today 56°·Low 42°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
58°
Cloudy
Today 58°·Low 47°·Rain 7%
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Loveland weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Loveland weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Loveland swings 71°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 15°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 16 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 112 days a year at 77°F or above, 53 of them at 86°F or above, 151 frost nights, and rain on 77 days.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
February
15°F average low
Wettest month
May
16 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
75,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
112 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
151 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
77 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Loveland’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Loveland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Loveland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Loveland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
56° 44°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
57° 41°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
59° 44°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
66° 39°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
65° 41°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
67° 42°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
68° 43°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
67° 44°
±6°
Sun
Light snow
61° 40°
±5°
Mon
Light snow
62° 37°
±5°
Tue
Clear
66° 39°
±7°
Wed
Clear
62° 41°
±23°
Thu
Partly cloudy
61° 40°
±28°

Loveland, Colorado (CO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 15°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Loveland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Loveland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
37°
17°
Feb
42°
15°
Mar
53°
27°
Apr
60°
32°
May
69°
43°
Jun
79°
54°
Jul
86°
57°
Aug
84°
57°
Sep
77°
47°
Oct
63°
36°
Nov
49°
27°
Dec
41°
20°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Loveland has changed since 1995

Loveland sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fort Collins. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Fort Collins page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Loveland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F91±2.8 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°55° to 58°±8%7% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±3°56° to 59°±23%43% to 66% chance
Mon±4°57° to 61°±17%53% to 70% chance
Tue±7°63° to 70°±3%3% to 6% chance
Wed±2°64° to 66°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Loveland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:21
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
10h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Loveland today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 56° in Loveland today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 57°, with a 66% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Loveland today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Loveland on Sunday, October 25: NWS 66%, American 66%, European 43%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 15%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Loveland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Loveland (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Loveland?
July is typically the warmest month in Loveland, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Loveland get?
The coldest month in Loveland is February, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Loveland get?
Loveland sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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