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CheckWeather USLake Forest
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Lake Forest weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Lake Forest's high today between 87° and 91°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 82°, with a 94% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

90°63°
82°70°
92°71°
94°75°
99°77°
96°78°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±10°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Mostly clear
Today 87°·Low 64°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Partly cloudy
Today 91°·Low 61°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 62°·Rain 49%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Forest and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
90° 63°
±5°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
82° 70°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 71°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
94° 75°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
99° 77°
±6°
Thu
Clear
96° 78°
±7°
Fri
Clear
89° 72°
models agree
Sat
Clear
84° 68°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 67°
models agree
Mon
Clear
87° 68°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
89° 69°
±14°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 74°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
87° 71°
±5°
Fri
Clear
88° 70°
±9°

Lake Forest, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Forest right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lake Forest climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
61°
45°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
68°
50°
May
69°
53°
Jun
75°
57°
Jul
85°
63°
Aug
85°
64°
Sep
82°
62°
Oct
81°
60°
Nov
72°
52°
Dec
68°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lake Forest?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
74±2.6°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
61±3.9°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°87° to 91°±48%1% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±10°77° to 87°±54%40% to 94% chance
Mon±7°89° to 96°±20%6% to 26% chance
Tue±6°92° to 98°±2%8% to 10% chance
Wed±6°95° to 101°±4%4% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lake Forest

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Forest today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lake Forest today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake Forest today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lake Forest and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Forest?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lake Forest (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lake Forest?
July is typically the warmest month in Lake Forest, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Lake Forest get?
The coldest month in Lake Forest is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Lake Forest get?
Lake Forest sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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