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Fair Oaks weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
48°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
49°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 79%

Latest for Fair Oaks: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 48° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 48° Clear · European (ECMWF): 49° Clear.

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Fair Oaks weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fair Oaks…

Fair Oaks weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fair Oaks swings 58°F across the year, from 97°F highs in July to 39°F lows in December, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 24 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 166 days a year at 77°F or above, 116 of them at 86°F or above, 3 frost nights, and rain on 63 days.

Warmest month
July
97°F average high
Coldest month
December
39°F average low
Wettest month
December
24 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
31,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
166 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
3 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
63 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fair Oaks’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fair Oaks and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fair Oaks hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fair Oaks 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Fair Oaks, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 39°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fair Oaks right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fair Oaks climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
59°
42°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
70°
47°
May
80°
54°
Jun
89°
59°
Jul
97°
62°
Aug
93°
62°
Sep
88°
60°
Oct
77°
51°
Nov
62°
43°
Dec
53°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fair Oaks has changed since 1995

Fair Oaks sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sacramento. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Sacramento page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fair Oaks?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Fair Oaks today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fair Oaks today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fair Oaks today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fair Oaks and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fair Oaks?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fair Oaks (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fair Oaks?
July is typically the warmest month in Fair Oaks, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Fair Oaks get?
The coldest month in Fair Oaks is December, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Fair Oaks get?
Fair Oaks sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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