Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USCarmichael
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Carmichael weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Carmichael today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 83°, with a 0% chance of rain.

83°54°
83°57°
89°56°
94°63°
100°72°
103°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mostly clear
Today 83°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Cloudy
Today 84°·Low 51°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 54°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carmichael and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
83° 57°
models agree
Mon
Clear
89° 56°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
94° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
100° 72°
±8°
Thu
Mostly clear
103° 75°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
93° 69°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
88° 63°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 61°
±10°
Mon
Clear
87° 61°
±10°
Tue
Clear
89° 62°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
94° 64°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
94° 65°
±5°
Fri
Clear
92° 62°
models agree

Carmichael, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 101°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carmichael right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carmichael climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
57°
40°
Mar
60°
43°
Apr
70°
47°
May
80°
53°
Jun
90°
58°
Jul
101°
64°
Aug
96°
63°
Sep
89°
59°
Oct
82°
55°
Nov
63°
44°
Dec
58°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carmichael?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F96±1.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°83° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°83° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°88° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°92° to 95°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±8°95° to 104°models agree2% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carmichael

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 51m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carmichael today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carmichael today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carmichael today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carmichael and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carmichael?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carmichael (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carmichael?
July is typically the warmest month in Carmichael, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Carmichael get?
The coldest month in Carmichael is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Carmichael get?
Carmichael sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather