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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Arden-Arcade weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Arden-Arcade's high today between 70° and 75°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°48°
73°49°
70°53°
68°50°
66°51°
65°51°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
49°
Clear
Feels 45° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
48°
Clear
Feels 43° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 64%
EuropeanECMWF
51°
Clear
Feels 46° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 60%

Latest for Arden-Arcade: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 49° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 48° Clear · European (ECMWF): 51° Clear.

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Arden-Arcade weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Arden-Arcade…

Arden-Arcade weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Arden-Arcade swings 60°F across the year, from 98°F highs in July to 38°F lows in December, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 171 days a year at 77°F or above, 120 of them at 86°F or above, 5 frost nights, and rain on 61 days.

Warmest month
July
98°F average high
Coldest month
December
38°F average low
Wettest month
December
22 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
92,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
171 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
5 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
61 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Arden-Arcade’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Arden-Arcade and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Arden-Arcade hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Arden-Arcade 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
72° 48°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 49°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
70° 53°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
68° 50°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
66° 51°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
65° 51°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
63° 51°
±13°
Sat
Cloudy
66° 50°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
68° 50°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
66° 51°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
71° 56°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 53°
±10°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 57°
±12°

Arden-Arcade, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 38°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Arden-Arcade right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Arden-Arcade climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
59°
42°
Mar
63°
46°
Apr
70°
47°
May
81°
54°
Jun
90°
58°
Jul
98°
61°
Aug
94°
61°
Sep
89°
59°
Oct
78°
51°
Nov
62°
43°
Dec
54°
38°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Arden-Arcade has changed since 1995

Arden-Arcade sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sacramento. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Sacramento page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Arden-Arcade?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°70° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°70° to 71°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tuemodels agree68° to 69°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°65° to 67°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Arden-Arcade

today, local time
Sunrise
07:24
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
10h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Arden-Arcade today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Arden-Arcade's high today between 70° and 75°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 73°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Arden-Arcade today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Arden-Arcade on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Arden-Arcade?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Arden-Arcade (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Arden-Arcade?
July is typically the warmest month in Arden-Arcade, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Arden-Arcade get?
The coldest month in Arden-Arcade is December, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Arden-Arcade get?
Arden-Arcade sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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