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CheckWeather USElizabeth
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Elizabeth weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Elizabeth's high today between 79° and 83°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 77°, with a 57% chance of rain.

81°68°
77°64°
79°61°
84°63°
87°68°
82°72°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Partly cloudy
Today 81°·Low 68°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 69°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Light drizzle
Today 79°·Low 68°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elizabeth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
81° 68°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 64°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
79° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
84° 63°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
87° 68°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 72°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 66°
±10°
Sat
Cloudy
79° 64°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
82° 68°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
85° 70°
±14°
Tue
Drizzle
80° 66°
±20°
Wed
Drizzle
75° 63°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
76° 61°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
72° 62°
±6°

Elizabeth, NJ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elizabeth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elizabeth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
31°
Feb
46°
29°
Mar
52°
35°
Apr
63°
44°
May
72°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
82°
66°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
45°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elizabeth?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F91±2.7 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°79° to 83°±6%2% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±3°75° to 78°±52%5% to 57% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°83° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°86° to 89°±4%4% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elizabeth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elizabeth today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elizabeth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elizabeth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elizabeth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elizabeth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elizabeth (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elizabeth?
July is typically the warmest month in Elizabeth, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Elizabeth get?
The coldest month in Elizabeth is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Elizabeth get?
Elizabeth sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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