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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Union weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Union today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain.

62°41°
65°41°
70°46°
59°47°
57°42°
65°47°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Partly cloudy
Today 62°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
63°
Cloudy
Today 63°·Low 40°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Cloudy
Today 61°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
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Union weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Union…

Union weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Union swings 62°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 23°F lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 105 days a year at 77°F or above, 39 of them at 86°F or above, 89 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
February
23°F average low
Wettest month
July
48 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
57,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
105 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
89 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
133 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Union’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Union and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Union hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Union 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
62° 41°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
65° 41°
models agree
Mon
Clear
70° 46°
models agree
Tue
Clear
59° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
57° 42°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
65° 47°
±4°
Fri
Clear
70° 51°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
66° 50°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
62° 49°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
64° 53°
±20°
Tue
Cloudy
62° 50°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
53° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 40°
models agree

Union, New Jersey (NJ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 23°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Union right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Union climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
38°
24°
Feb
41°
23°
Mar
49°
31°
Apr
60°
40°
May
71°
51°
Jun
81°
60°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
83°
65°
Sep
75°
58°
Oct
65°
46°
Nov
53°
36°
Dec
42°
29°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Union has changed since 1995

Union sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Staten Island. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Staten Island page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Union?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F92±2.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°61° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°64° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°69° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°57° to 60°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°56° to 59°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Union

today, local time
Sunrise
07:18
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Union today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 62° in Union today. Tomorrow: clear, around 65°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Union today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Union on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Union?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Union (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Union?
July is typically the warmest month in Union, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Union get?
The coldest month in Union is February, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Union get?
Union sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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