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CheckWeather USDenton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Denton weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Denton today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 100°, with a 22% chance of rain.

99°79°
100°80°
100°80°
102°82°
101°81°
100°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Clear
Today 99°·Low 79°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Mostly clear
Today 100°·Low 80°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 76°·Rain 12%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Denton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
99° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
100° 80°
models agree
Mon
Clear
100° 80°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
102° 82°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
101° 81°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
100° 80°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
102° 81°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
102° 82°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
99° 81°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 75°
±14°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 73°
±19°
Wed
Cloudy
89° 69°
±12°
Thu
Clear
90° 66°
±10°
Fri
Clear
95° 70°
±9°

Denton, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 37°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Denton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Denton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
37°
Feb
63°
43°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
75°
56°
May
83°
66°
Jun
91°
73°
Jul
95°
76°
Aug
100°
80°
Sep
90°
71°
Oct
81°
62°
Nov
67°
49°
Dec
60°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Denton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.7 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°97° to 100°±11%1% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±1°99° to 100°±20%2% to 22% chance
Mon±1°100° to 100°±7%1% to 8% chance
Tue±4°100° to 104°±2%4% to 6% chance
Wed±4°99° to 103°±4%2% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Denton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Denton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Denton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Denton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Denton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Denton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Denton (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Denton?
August is typically the warmest month in Denton, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Denton get?
The coldest month in Denton is January, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Denton get?
Denton sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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