Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io

Dana Point weather

Loading live data…

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
58°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Clear
Feels 55° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Dana Point: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 58° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Clear · European (ECMWF): 62° Clear.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Dana Point weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Dana Point…

Dana Point weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dana Point swings 31°F across the year, from 77°F highs in September to 46°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 11 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 55 days a year at 77°F or above, 5 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 43 days.

Warmest month
September
77°F average high
Coldest month
December
46°F average low
Wettest month
February
11 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
34,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
55 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
43 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dana Point’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dana Point and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Dana Point hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Dana Point 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Dana Point, California (CA) is at its warmest in Sep (average highs near 77°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 46°F), with roughly 11 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dana Point right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dana Point climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
61°
48°
Feb
62°
49°
Mar
63°
52°
Apr
65°
52°
May
69°
59°
Jun
72°
61°
Jul
74°
60°
Aug
76°
63°
Sep
77°
64°
Oct
73°
56°
Nov
68°
51°
Dec
61°
46°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dana Point has changed since 1995

Dana Point sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Murrieta. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Murrieta page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dana Point?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
72
/100rank #2
35±6.5°F97±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Dana Point today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dana Point today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dana Point today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dana Point and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dana Point?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Dana Point (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dana Point?
September is typically the warmest month in Dana Point, with average highs around 77°F.
How cold does Dana Point get?
The coldest month in Dana Point is December, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Dana Point get?
Dana Point sees roughly 11 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather