Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather US›Illinois›Crystal Lake

Crystal Lake weather

Loading live data…

Crystal Lake weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Crystal Lake…

Crystal Lake weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Crystal Lake swings 66°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 16°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 37 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 94 days a year at 77°F or above, 23 of them at 86°F or above, 120 frost nights, and rain on 126 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
16°F average low
Wettest month
August
37 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
40,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
94 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
120 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
126 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Crystal Lake’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Crystal Lake and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Crystal Lake hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Crystal Lake 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Crystal Lake, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Crystal Lake right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Crystal Lake climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
16°
Feb
36°
18°
Mar
45°
28°
Apr
57°
38°
May
69°
47°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
73°
56°
Oct
59°
44°
Nov
45°
32°
Dec
34°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Crystal Lake has changed since 1995

Crystal Lake sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Aurora. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Aurora page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Crystal Lake?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F99±0.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Crystal Lake today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Crystal Lake today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Crystal Lake today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Crystal Lake and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Crystal Lake?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Crystal Lake (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Crystal Lake?
July is typically the warmest month in Crystal Lake, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Crystal Lake get?
The coldest month in Crystal Lake is January, when overnight lows average about 16°F.
How much rain does Crystal Lake get?
Crystal Lake sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather